Result
24/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lugano
68.6% | Draw
19.1% | Winterthur
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lugano - Winterthur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.36) |
4.91 ↓
(4.93) |
7.54 ↑
(7.19) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 5.
- In recent matches, Lugano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Winterthur has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lugano is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:18. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Winterthur?
Lugano has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Lugano?
Winterthur has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Winterthur were as follows:
05.10.2025
Winterthur
-
Lugano
2:4
25.01.2025
Winterthur
-
Lugano
2:3
29.09.2024
Lugano
-
Winterthur
2:1
16.05.2024
Lugano
-
Winterthur
4:2
06.04.2024
Winterthur
-
Lugano
2:2
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 42:24 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Lugano | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Basel | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Sion | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 30:24 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 39:41 | -2 | 29 |
| 7 | Lausanne | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | Zurich | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | -7 | 25 |
| 9 | Luzern | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 37:40 | -3 | 21 |
| 10 | Servette | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 31:38 | -7 | 21 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 17 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23:52 | -29 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
