Winterthur vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Super League Winterthur - Lugano
05/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Winterthur
25.2%
Draw
24.3%
Lugano
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 24% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 23.5% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The chances for Lugano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Winterthur - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.71
    (3.68)
    3.84
    (3.93)
    1.86
    (1.87)
    6.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Winterthur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lugano is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 0.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Lugano were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Winterthur - Lugano 2:3
    29.09.2024 Lugano - Winterthur 2:1
    16.05.2024 Lugano - Winterthur 4:2
    06.04.2024 Winterthur - Lugano 2:2
    10.12.2023 Lugano - Winterthur 2:1
    Latest results of Winterthur
    27.09.2025 Servette - Winterthur 4:0
    21.09.2025 Schaffhausen - Winterthur 0:4
    14.09.2025 Winterthur - Sion 2:3
    30.08.2025 Winterthur - Zürich 1:3
    24.08.2025 Grasshoppers - Winterthur 2:2
    Latest results of Lugano
    27.09.2025 Lugano - Grasshoppers 2:1
    17.09.2025 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 1:1
    13.09.2025 St. Gallen - Lugano 1:0
    31.08.2025 Young Boys - Lugano 3:1
    17.08.2025 Cham - Lugano 3:2
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Gallen750215:7815
    2Young Boys742114:10414
    3Thun741214:11313
    4Zurich741213:12113
    5Basel740313:10312
    6Sion732210:7311
    7Luzern732211:10111
    8Servette722312:1208
    9Lugano72148:13-57
    10Grasshoppers713311:12-16
    11Lausanne71248:12-45
    12Winterthur70258:21-132

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