Result
16/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SWITZERLAND: Super League - Round 28
- Referee: Horisberger S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 36 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/483) | 82% (329/403) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 73% (96/132) | 68% (78/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 33% (4/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 87% (13/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Belhadj M. ↓, Macek R. ↑,
- 46', Gomis C. ↓, Di Giusto M. ↑,
- 46', Schneider R. ↓, Durrer A. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Koutsias G. ⚽, Macek R. (A),
- 56', 2 - 0, Koutsias G. ⚽, Bislimi U. (A),
- 63', Burkart N. ↓, Jankewitz A. ↑,
- 63', Frei F. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
- 63', Stillhart B. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
- 65', Bislimi U. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 65', Marques M. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 66', Jankewitz A. 🟨,
- 72', Sidler S. 🟨,
- 82', Zanotti M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 84', Dos Santos D. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Luthi L. ⚽, Zuffi L. (A),
Chances of winning
Lugano
67.6% | Draw
19.2% | Winterthur
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Lugano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Lugano - Winterthur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.39) |
4.88 ↓
(4.99) |
7.08 ↑
(6.94) |
6.6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lugano - Winterthur?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugano won 4.
- Lugano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Winterthur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Winterthur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lugano is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cimignani Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Mahou H.
(Inactive)
Pseftis F.
(Inactive)
Vladi S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Winterthur: Rohner F.
(Knee Injury)
Schattin T.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Winterthur: Lekaj G.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lugano won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 38:18 (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugano won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20:7 (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Winterthur?
Lugano has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Lugano?
Winterthur has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Winterthur were as follows:
25.01.2025
Winterthur
-
Lugano
2:3
29.09.2024
Lugano
-
Winterthur
2:1
16.05.2024
Lugano
-
Winterthur
4:2
06.04.2024
Winterthur
-
Lugano
2:2
10.12.2023
Lugano
-
Winterthur
2:1
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Young Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Luzern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | St. Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lausanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Winterthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Zurich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Basel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Servette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
