Result
1:3
29/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 15
- Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (479/544) | 73% (194/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (479/544) | 73% (194/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (21/29) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (154/192) | 46% (26/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 43% (12/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.79 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 36', Golliard T. 🟨,
- 38', Owusu T. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Kasami P. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Silva Ferreira L. M. ⚽, Karweina S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kabwit O. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
- 49', Rohner F. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Hunziker A. ⚽,
- 64', Bajrami A. ↓, Wyss S. ↑,
- 64', Karweina S. ↓, Grbic A. ↑,
- 67', Grbic A. 🟨,
- 68', Kasami P. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
- 68', Golliard T. ↓, Dansoko B. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 3, Maluvunu E. ⚽,
- 75', Rohner F. ↓, Sidler S. ↑,
- 80', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Vasovic A. ↑,
- 85', Schneider R. ↓, Cueni S. ↑,
- 85', Hunziker A. ↓, Beyer B. ↑,
- 89', Jankewitz A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luzern
65.3% | Draw
19.9% | Winterthur
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Luzern - Winterthur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.55) |
4.77 ↑
(4.25) |
6.23 ↑
(4.95) |
6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Luzern - Winterthur?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Winterthur will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Luzern is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 45:28. (average 2.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 2.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Winterthur?
Luzern has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Luzern?
Winterthur has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Winterthur were as follows:
25.10.2025
Winterthur
-
Luzern
2:2
05.07.2025
Luzern
-
Winterthur
1:1
09.02.2025
Luzern
-
Winterthur
3:2
14.12.2024
Winterthur
-
Luzern
3:4
24.08.2024
Luzern
-
Winterthur
3:0
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 31:18 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Basel | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 34:29 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Sion | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Lugano | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Zurich | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 23 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Servette | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 19 |
| 10 | Luzern | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 30:31 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20:44 | -24 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
