Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 30
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (490/581) | 68% (183/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (490/581) | 68% (183/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (34/53) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (166/223) | 54% (48/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (12/31) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 56 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', Kabwit O. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Di Giusto M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 16', Rohner F. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Burkart N. ⚽, Hunziker A. (A),
- 37', Arnold R. ↓, Citherlet T. ↑,
- 42', Freimann B. ↓, Sadikaj E. ↑,
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Golliard T. ⚽, Burkart N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kasami P. ↓, Zuffi L. ↑,
- 46', Cueni S. ↓, Jankewitz A. ↑,
- 51', Burkart N. ↓, Momoh F. ↑,
- 58', Sidler S. 🟨,
- 64', Dantas R. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 64', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
- 69', Jankewitz A. 🟨,
- 75', Kabwit O. ↓, Wyss S. ↑,
- 75', Vasovic A. ↓, Grbic A. ↑,
- 80', Rohner F. ↓, Dansoko B. ↑,
- 90+1', Villiger L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luzern
71.8% | Draw
16.2% | Winterthur
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Luzern - Winterthur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.39) |
5.84 ↑
(5.61) |
7.7 ↑
(6.26) |
6.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Luzern - Winterthur?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Winterthur will win (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Winterthur (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 2.
- In recent matches, Luzern has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Winterthur's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Luzern is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:31. (average 2.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Winterthur?
Luzern has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Luzern?
Winterthur has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Winterthur were as follows:
29.11.2025
Luzern
-
Winterthur
1:3
25.10.2025
Winterthur
-
Luzern
2:2
05.07.2025
Luzern
-
Winterthur
1:1
09.02.2025
Luzern
-
Winterthur
3:2
14.12.2024
Winterthur
-
Luzern
3:4
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 72:35 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Basel ✔ | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
| 4 | Lugano ✔ | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 48:38 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Sion ✔ | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Young Boys ✔ | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 61:56 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Luzern ✔ | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 62:56 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Servette ✔ | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 53:56 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Lausanne ✔ | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 45:53 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 34:82 | -48 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
