Result
2:2
25/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 10
- Referee: San F. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (217/282) | 86% (449/520) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (217/282) | 86% (449/520) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 46% (12/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (38/56) | 76% (136/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', Schneider R. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Hunziker A. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 0, Burkart N. ⚽, Hunziker A. (A),
- 28', Hunziker A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Knezevic S. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Grbic A. (Pen),
- 65', Spadanuda K. ↓, Silva Ferreira L. M. ↑,
- 65', Bajrami A. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
- 65', Von Moos J. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,
- 66', Burkart N. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
- 66', Kasami P. ↓, Golliard T. ↑,
- 73', Silva Ferreira L. M. 🟨,
- 76', Schneider R. ↓, Beyer B. ↑,
- 81', Maluvunu E. 🟨,
- 83', Abe T. 🟨,
- 87', Abe T. ↓, Wyss S. ↑,
- 90', Hunziker A. ↓, Momoh F. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Diaby S. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Winterthur
27.7% | Draw
24.9% | Luzern
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Winterthur - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↓
(3.77) |
3.77 ↓
(3.81) |
1.99 ↑
(1.88) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Winterthur - Luzern?
Users Predictions:
Luzern will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Luzern will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:44. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1.2:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Luzern?
Winterthur has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Winterthur?
Luzern has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Luzern were as follows:
05.07.2025
Luzern
-
Winterthur
1:1
09.02.2025
Luzern
-
Winterthur
3:2
14.12.2024
Winterthur
-
Luzern
3:4
24.08.2024
Luzern
-
Winterthur
3:0
11.02.2024
Winterthur
-
Luzern
2:1
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 26:14 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Basel | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:23 | 2 | 22 |
| 4 | St. Gallen | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Sion | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Lugano | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Luzern | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 26:22 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Zurich | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | Servette | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18:27 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
