Result
4:1
13/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Relegation Group - Round 36
- Referee: Tschudi L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.75 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (399/484) | 66% (157/238) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.75 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (399/484) | 66% (157/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (91/133) | 51% (43/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 30% (6/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Lukembila J. ⚽, Sidler S. (A),
- 32', Conceicao R. ↓, Zuber S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Okoflex A. ↓, Markelo J. ↑,
- 46', Emmanuel U. ↓, Chouiar M. ↑,
- 57', Sahitaj L. 🟨,
- 58', Reverson D. ↓, Ballet S. ↑,
- 60', Sahitaj L. ↓, Muhl L. ↑,
- 60', Burkart N. ↓, Cueni S. ↑,
- 68', Lukembila J. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
- 72', Denoon D. ↓, Gbamin J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Luthi L. (Own goal),
- 78', 2 - 1, Kamberi L. ⚽, Markelo J. (A),
- 81', Di Giusto M. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
- 81', Schneider R. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Chouiar M. ⚽, Ballet S. (A),
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Ballet S. ⚽, Markelo J. (A),
Chances of winning
Zürich
48.5% | Draw
24.4% | Winterthur
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zürich's form might have worsened.Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Winterthur's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+17.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zürich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Winterthur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zürich - Winterthur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.42) |
3.86 ↓
(4.7) |
3.56 ↓
(6.4) |
5.6%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Zürich - Winterthur?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Zürich will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Winterthur will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Winterthur: 47.5% – 89.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Winterthur will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 3.
- Zürich has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Winterthur is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Zürich is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Zürich: Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
Mendy B.
(Inactive)
Perea J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Winterthur: Rohner F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Winterthur: Schattin T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Winterthur?
Zürich has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Zürich?
Winterthur has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zürich - Winterthur were as follows:
05.04.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
0:0
06.02.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
0:2
28.07.2024
Zürich
-
Winterthur
4:2
12.05.2024
Winterthur
-
Zürich
1:3
03.04.2024
Zürich
-
Winterthur
0:0
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Sion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Basel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Luzern | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Zurich | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Lugano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Servette | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
