Result
3:0
11/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 24
- Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/404) | 69% (225/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/404) | 69% (225/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (52/86) | 35% (25/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (76/120) | 53% (46/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 62% (18/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Di Giusto N. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Keny P. P. ⚽, Krasniqi B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Smith R. ↓, Maksutaj L. ↑,
- 46', Kasami P. 🟨,
- 64', Di Giusto N. ↓, Kablan C. ↑,
- 67', Hunziker A. 🟨,
- 68', Palacio N. 🟨,
- 74', Palacio N. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
- 74', Tsawa C. ↓, Reverson D. ↑,
- 74', Golliard T. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
- 74', Sidler S. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
- 83', Keny P. P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', Bangoura M. 🟨,
- 86', Jankewitz A. ↓, Diaby S. ↑,
- 87', Emmanuel U. ↓, Fischer P. ↑,
- 90', Maluvunu E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Reverson D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Kryeziu M. 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 0, Keny P. P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zürich
47.2% | Draw
25.4% | Winterthur
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zürich's form might have worsened.Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Winterthur's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zürich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Winterthur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zürich - Winterthur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.63) |
3.72 ↓
(4.05) |
3.42 ↓
(4.53) |
6.3%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zürich - Winterthur?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Zürich will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Winterthur will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zürich: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Winterthur (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zürich will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zürich (votes: 4 - 80%). Winterthur (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 3.
- Zürich has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Winterthur is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Winterthur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Zürich has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Zürich is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Winterthur?
Zürich has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Zürich?
Winterthur has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zürich - Winterthur were as follows:
13.12.2025
Zürich
-
Winterthur
2:2
30.08.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
1:3
13.05.2025
Zürich
-
Winterthur
4:1
05.04.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
0:0
06.02.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
0:2
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 32 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 72:36 | 36 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64:40 | 24 | 60 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 50:42 | 8 | 53 |
| 5 | Sion ✔ | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Young Boys ✔ | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 65:60 | 5 | 48 |
| 7 | Luzern ✔ | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 64:61 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Servette ✔ | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57:57 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Lausanne ✔ | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 47:57 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45:63 | -18 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 40:65 | -25 | 27 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35:86 | -51 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
