Result
2:2
13/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 17
- Referee: von Mandach J. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (273/399) | 61% (175/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (273/399) | 61% (175/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (32/78) | 30% (21/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (119/194) | 49% (35/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 48% (11/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Durrer A. 🟨,
- 27', Dansoko B. 🟨,
- 32', Kasami P. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Diaby S. ⚽, Golliard T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Emmanuel U. ↓, Reverson D. ↑,
- 46', Phaeton M. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
- 47', Vujevic D. 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 1, Reverson D. ⚽,
- 66', Vujevic D. ↓, Ligue J. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Keny P. P. ⚽, Reichmuth M. (A),
- 73', Zuffi L. ↓, Cueni S. ↑,
- 73', Kasami P. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
- 73', Tsawa C. ↓, Krasniqi B. ↑,
- 80', Rohner F. 🟨,
- 82', Dansoko B. ↓, Citherlet T. ↑,
- 82', Rohner F. ↓, Beyer B. ↑,
- 85', Keny P. P. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
- 86', Jankewitz A. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
- 90', Sauter I. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Buess R. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Zürich 59.7% | Draw 20.9% | Winterthur 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Zürich - Winterthur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↓ (1.61) |
4.48 ↑ (3.9) |
4.87 ↓ (4.87) |
6.4% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Zürich - Winterthur?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zürich (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Zürich will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 4.
- Zürich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Winterthur is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Winterthur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Zürich is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Zürich: Gomez M.
(Suspended)
Palacio N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Winterthur: Burkart N.
(Injury)
Luthi L.
(Thigh Injury)
Ulrich D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zürich: Perea J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Winterthur: Chiappetta C.
(Injury)
Rohner F.
(Injury)
Sahitaj L.
(Injury)
Stillhart B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:13. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Winterthur?
Zürich has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Zürich?
Winterthur has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zürich - Winterthur were as follows:
30.08.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
1:3
13.05.2025
Zürich
-
Winterthur
4:1
05.04.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
0:0
06.02.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
0:2
28.07.2024
Zürich
-
Winterthur
4:2
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Lugano | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 33 |
| 4 | Basel | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 38:38 | 0 | 29 |
| 6 | Sion | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Zurich | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Luzern | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 35:35 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Servette | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 30:36 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 23:50 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )