Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 7
- Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (371/431) | 87% (490/564) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (371/431) | 87% (490/564) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (60/90) | 73% (114/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', Baumgartner D. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Pink M. ⚽, Baumgartner D. (A),
- 25', Wimmer N. 🟨,
- 25', Nwaiwu C. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Havel E. (Pen),
- 36', 1 - 2, Zukic D. ⚽, Matic B. (A),
- 44', Heil J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wimmer N. ↓, Diabate C. ↑,
- 46', Kovacevic D. ↓, Fillafer M. ↑,
- 46', Coulibaly H. ↓, Hennig M. ↑,
- 46', Markus B. ↓, Prokop D. ↑,
- 64', Piesinger S. ↓, Chukwu E. ↑,
- 68', Hoffmann M. ↓, Fridrikas L. ↑,
- 76', Baumgartner D. ↓, Drame A. ↑,
- 76', Zukic D. ↓, Agyeman E. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Fillafer M. ⚽,
- 84', Havel E. ↓, Mijic P. ↑,
- 90+1', Pink M. ↓, Dosso M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hartberg
22% | Draw
26.5% | Wolfsberger
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Wolfsberger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolfsberger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hartberg - Wolfsberger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.28 ↑
(3.43) |
3.59 ↑
(3.53) |
1.89 ↓
(1.95) |
4.1%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hartberg - Wolfsberger?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hartberg will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsberger: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hartberg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Wolfsberger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Wolfsberger might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Hartberg: Diarra Y.
(Inactive)
Drew J.
(Back Injury)
Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wolfsberger: Avdijaj D.
(Muscle Injury)
Kojzek E.
(Elbow Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Wolfsberger?
Hartberg has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Hartberg?
Wolfsberger has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartberg - Wolfsberger were as follows:
01.05.2025
Wolfsberger
-
Hartberg
1:0
01.03.2025
Hartberg
-
Wolfsberger
0:3
05.10.2024
Wolfsberger
-
Hartberg
2:3
10.12.2023
Hartberg
-
Wolfsberger
2:0
02.09.2023
Wolfsberger
-
Hartberg
0:3
Latest results of Hartberg
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SK Rapid | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Altach | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Tirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Ried | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | BW Linz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | LASK | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
