Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg
Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.80
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
88% (463/527)84% (356/424)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.03
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
910
Passes
88% (463/527)84% (356/424)
Long passes
56% (29/52)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
77% (140/181)75% (65/87)
Crosses
22% (7/32)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.37
Throw-ins
2513
Fouls
109
Tackles
25% (2/8)67% (14/21)
Duels won
3240
Clearances
1943
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.031.40
Goals prevented
0.030.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Adeyemi K. , Ryerson J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Skov Olsen A. , Daghim A. ,
  • 60', Majer L. , Svanberg M. ,
  • 60', Vini Souza , Eriksen C. ,
  • 65', Beier M. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 73', Wimmer P. , Wind J. ,
  • 77', Adeyemi K. , Brandt J. ,
  • 77', Nmecha F. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 81', Maehle J. , Pejcinovic D. ,
  • 90+2', Sabitzer M. , Ozcan S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3fjtpafd

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
65.9%
Draw
19.6%
Wolfsburg
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64% 19.5% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 18.9% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.48)
    5.11
    (4.87)
    7.13
    (5.73)
    1.6%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 67 - 91.8%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 3 - 4.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 85.5%98.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.
    • Borussia D is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Wolfsburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Silva F. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 52:9. (average 2.6:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:2. (average 3.2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 4:0
    22.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:3
    29.10.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:0
    17.02.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:1
    23.09.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 1:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    13.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Köln 3:3
    31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1
    23.08.2025 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3
    16.08.2025 Hemelingen - Wolfsburg 0:9
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    5FC Koln631211:9210
    6Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    7Stuttgart53027:619
    8Freiburg52129:907
    9St. Pauli62138:9-17
    10Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    11Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    12Union Berlin62138:13-57
    13Augsburg620411:13-26
    14Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    15Hamburger SV51222:8-65
    16Mainz51135:6-14
    17Heidenheim51044:10-63
    18B. Monchengladbach50235:12-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga