Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilCaze TV, SporTV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.451.27
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
24
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
48
Passes
77% (237/309)87% (502/579)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.451.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.34
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
214
Shots inside the box
614
Shots outside the box
67
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
11
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1642
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1013
Passes
77% (237/309)87% (502/579)
Long passes
43% (25/58)60% (26/43)
Passes in final third
66% (63/96)80% (163/205)
Crosses
35% (7/20)21% (7/34)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.55
Throw ins
2224
Fouls
1310
Tackles
60% (9/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4554
Clearances
4921
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
1.340.27
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Fischer K. , Burger J. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Brandt J. , Ryerson J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Daghim A. 🟨,
  • 51', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Koulierakis K. , Eriksen C. (A),
  • 64', Paredes K. , Lindstrom J. ,
  • 65', Shiogai K. , Majer L. ,
  • 69', Ryerson J. , Silva F. ,
  • 83', Amoura M. , Pejcinovic D. ,
  • 83', Daghim A. , Svanberg M. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Guirassy S. , Silva F. (A),
  • 88', Brandt J. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 88', Nmecha F. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 88', Sule N. , Bensebaini R. ,
  • 90+4', Beier M. , Reggiani L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
21.4%
Draw
22.8%
Borussia Dortmund
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 23.3% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 22.8% 55.2%

Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.51
(4.2)
4.16
(4.09)
1.71
(1.76)
4.6%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Borussia D (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (49 of 57 users predict this - 85.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.94%94.98%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 18 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 1.
    • Wolfsburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Borussia D has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Jenz M. (Yellow Cards) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Illness) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Sabitzer M. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Kumbedi S. (Injury) Vini Souza (Injury) Wimmer P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 8:48. (average 0.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 1:0
    03.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 4:0
    22.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:3
    29.10.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:0
    17.02.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:1
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    30.01.2026 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0
    24.01.2026 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1
    17.01.2026 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 1:1
    14.01.2026 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    11.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg 8:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich21173179:196054
    2Dortmund21146143:202348
    3Hoffenheim21133544:281642
    4RB Leipzig21123640:281239
    5Stuttgart21123638:281039
    6Bayer Leverkusen20113639:271236
    7Freiburg2186732:33-130
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2177741:46-528
    9Union Berlin2167826:34-825
    10FC Koln21651030:34-423
    11Hamburger SV2057821:29-822
    12B. Monchengladbach2157925:34-922
    13Augsburg21641124:39-1522
    14Mainz21561025:33-821
    15Wolfsburg21541229:44-1519
    16Werder Bremen21471022:39-1719
    17St. Pauli21451220:35-1517
    18Heidenheim21341419:47-2813

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga