Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilCaze TV, SporTV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.451.27
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
24
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
48
Passes
77% (237/309)87% (502/579)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.451.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.34
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
214
Shots inside the box
614
Shots outside the box
67
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
11
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1642
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1013
Passes
77% (237/309)87% (502/579)
Long passes
43% (25/58)60% (26/43)
Passes in final third
66% (63/96)80% (163/205)
Crosses
35% (7/20)21% (7/34)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.55
Throw ins
2224
Fouls
1310
Tackles
60% (9/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4554
Clearances
4921
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
1.340.27
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Fischer K. , Burger J. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Brandt J. , Ryerson J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Daghim A. 🟨,
  • 51', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Koulierakis K. , Eriksen C. (A),
  • 64', Paredes K. , Lindstrom J. ,
  • 65', Shiogai K. , Majer L. ,
  • 69', Ryerson J. , Silva F. ,
  • 83', Amoura M. , Pejcinovic D. ,
  • 83', Daghim A. , Svanberg M. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Guirassy S. , Silva F. (A),
  • 88', Brandt J. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 88', Nmecha F. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 88', Sule N. , Bensebaini R. ,
  • 90+4', Beier M. , Reggiani L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
21.4%
Draw
22.8%
Borussia Dortmund
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 23.3% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 22.8% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.51
    (4.2)
    4.16
    (4.09)
    1.71
    (1.76)
    4.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Borussia D (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (49 of 57 users predict this - 85.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.94%94.98%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 18 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 1.
    • Wolfsburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Borussia D has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Jenz M. (Yellow Cards) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Illness) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Sabitzer M. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Kumbedi S. (Injury) Vini Souza (Injury) Wimmer P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 8:48. (average 0.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 1:0
    03.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 4:0
    22.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:3
    29.10.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:0
    17.02.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:1
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    30.01.2026 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0
    24.01.2026 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1
    17.01.2026 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 1:1
    14.01.2026 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    11.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg 8:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga