Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 4
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | MBC Action |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Suriname | SCCN |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.14 | 0.80 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Passes |
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88% (463/527) | 84% (356/424) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.14 | 0.80 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.40 | 0.03 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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34 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 10 |
Passes |
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88% (463/527) | 84% (356/424) |
Long passes |
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56% (29/52) | 38% (19/50) |
Passes in final third |
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77% (140/181) | 75% (65/87) |
Crosses |
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22% (7/32) | 36% (5/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.41 | 0.37 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 13 |
Fouls |
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10 | 9 |
Tackles |
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25% (2/8) | 67% (14/21) |
Duels won |
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32 | 40 |
Clearances |
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19 | 43 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.03 | 1.40 |
Goals prevented |
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0.03 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
- 60', Majer L. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
- 60', Vini Souza ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
- 65', Beier M. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
- 73', Wimmer P. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
- 77', Adeyemi K. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
- 77', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
- 81', Maehle J. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
- 90+2', Sabitzer M. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3fjtpafd
Chances of winning
Borussia Dortmund 65.9% | Draw 19.6% | Wolfsburg 14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (1.48) |
5.11 ↑ (4.87) |
7.13 ↑ (5.73) |
1.6% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg?
Users Predictions:
73 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 67 - 91.8%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 3 - 4.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 85.5% – 98.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.
- Borussia D is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Wolfsburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Borussia D: Can E.
(Groin Injury)
Duranville J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sule N.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J.
(Groin Injury)
Paredes K.
(Foot Injury)
Rogerio
(Muscle Injury)
Vavro D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Borussia D: Anselmino A.
(Muscle Injury)
Schlotterbeck N.
(Knee Injury)
Silva F.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 52:9. (average 2.6:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:2. (average 3.2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Wolfsburg?
Borussia Dortmund has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Borussia Dortmund?
Wolfsburg has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg were as follows:
03.05.2025
Borussia Dortmund
-
Wolfsburg
4:0
22.12.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Borussia Dortmund
1:3
29.10.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Borussia Dortmund
1:0
17.02.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Borussia Dortmund
1:1
23.09.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Wolfsburg
1:0
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
Latest results of Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 22 | 18 |
2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 14 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
5 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 6 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
16 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga