Worcester Red Sox vs Rochester Red Wings: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball IL Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings
Result
5:4
08/06/2025 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : IL - First stage
Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
44
Errors
11

Chances of winning


Worcester Red Sox
56.4%
Rochester Red Wings
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Worcester Red Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Rochester Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester Red Sox than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Red Wings than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.55)

    2.14
    (2.37)
    6.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 10.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worcester won 5.
    • Worcester is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Rochester has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Worcester has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Rochester has had a series of away games.
    • Worcester might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Worcester won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 149:80. (average 7.5:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Worcester won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:33. (average 6.8:4.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings 10:4
    06.06.2025 Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings 6:3
    05.06.2025 Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings 9:6
    03.06.2025 Worcester Red Sox - Rochester Red Wings 6:5
    20.04.2025 Rochester Red Wings - Worcester Red Sox 0:7
    IL Table
    Second stage
    PlWLPCT
    1Syracuse Mets97254:340.778
    2Scranton/WB86241:290.750
    3Durham Bulls86239:300.750
    4Columbus Clippers96356:430.667
    5Charlotte Knights96352:390.667
    6Indianapolis Indians96352:450.667
    7Lehigh Valley IronPigs85351:440.625
    8Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp95453:370.556
    9Gwinnett Stripers95433:360.556
    10Iowa Cubs94567:580.444
    11Memphis Redbirds94544:400.444
    12Louisville Bats94546:440.444
    13St. Paul94534:400.444
    14Buffalo Bisons94545:550.444
    15Norfolk Tides83532:310.375
    16Omaha Storm Chasers93647:620.333
    17Toledo Mud Hens93631:550.333
    18Nashville Sounds93633:590.333
    19Worcester92732:400.222
    20Rochester Red Wings92735:560.222

          Promotion ~ IL (Play Offs: )

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