Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 40
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 0, Byrne A. ⚽,
- 54', 2 - 0, Osei D. ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 1, Tymon M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ashton United
38.6% | Draw
27% | Workington
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Workington's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Workington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ashton United - Workington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(1.97) |
3.35 ↓
(3.52) |
2.63 ↓
(3.49) |
10.5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 1.
- Ashton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Workington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Workington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ashton United won against Workington?
Ashton United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Workington won against Ashton United?
Workington has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ashton United - Workington were as follows:
23.08.2025
Workington
-
Ashton United
1:1
26.04.2025
Workington
-
Ashton United
5:1
24.08.2024
Ashton United
-
Workington
3:0
16.12.2023
Ashton United
-
Workington
2:2
12.08.2023
Workington
-
Ashton United
5:0
Latest results of Ashton United
Latest results of Workington
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 73 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | FC United | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 62:36 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Stockton | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 11 | 58 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:44 | 9 | 58 |
| 8 | Cleethorpes | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 56:46 | 10 | 54 |
| 9 | Leek | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:50 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 51 |
| 11 | Bamber Bridge | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51:48 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Ilkeston | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 49:52 | -3 | 48 |
| 13 | Warrington | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41:58 | -17 | 48 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 45:55 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Rushall | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 47:59 | -12 | 44 |
| 16 | Whitby | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Hyde | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 54:62 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Workington | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Morpeth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 36:53 | -17 | 39 |
| 20 | Prescot | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 38:63 | -25 | 35 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
