Result
1:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Swinglehurst S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 81', Carroll B. 🟥,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Lawson D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Workington 26.3% | Draw 25.4% | Lancaster City 48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lancaster City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Workington - Lancaster City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.47 ↑ (3.35) |
3.59 ↑ (3.43) |
1.89 ↓ (1.95) |
9.6% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Workington won 1.
- Workington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Lancaster has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lancaster is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Workington won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Workington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Workington won against Lancaster City?
Workington has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Workington?
Lancaster City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Workington - Lancaster City were as follows:
25.08.2025
Lancaster City
-
Workington
2:0
21.12.2024
Lancaster City
-
Workington
1:1
13.08.2024
Workington
-
Lancaster City
1:1
17.02.2024
Lancaster City
-
Workington
1:1
26.09.2023
Workington
-
Lancaster City
2:1
Latest results of Workington
Latest results of Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 73 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | FC United | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 62:36 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Stockton | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 11 | 58 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:44 | 9 | 58 |
| 8 | Cleethorpes | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 56:46 | 10 | 54 |
| 9 | Leek | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:50 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 51 |
| 11 | Bamber Bridge | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51:48 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Ilkeston | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 49:52 | -3 | 48 |
| 13 | Warrington | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41:58 | -17 | 48 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 45:55 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Rushall | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 47:59 | -12 | 44 |
| 16 | Whitby | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Hyde | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 54:62 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Workington | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Morpeth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 36:53 | -17 | 39 |
| 20 | Prescot | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 38:63 | -25 | 35 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation