Workington vs Lancaster City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Premier Division - Round 25

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Swinglehurst S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 81', Carroll B. 🟥,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Lawson D. ,

Chances of winning


Workington
26.3%
Draw
25.4%
Lancaster City
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 26.4% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 24.3% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lancaster City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Workington - Lancaster City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.47
    (3.35)
    3.59
    (3.43)
    1.89
    (1.95)
    9.6%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Workington won 1.
    • Workington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lancaster has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lancaster is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Workington won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Workington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Workington - Lancaster City were as follows:
    25.08.2025 Lancaster City - Workington 2:0
    21.12.2024 Lancaster City - Workington 1:1
    13.08.2024 Workington - Lancaster City 1:1
    17.02.2024 Lancaster City - Workington 1:1
    26.09.2023 Workington - Lancaster City 2:1
    Latest results of Workington
    Latest results of Lancaster City
    English NPL Premier Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hebburn Town382110771:403173
    2Hednesford382110758:322673
    3FC United37218862:362671
    4Warrington Rylands391813858:401867
    5Gainsborough3816111148:40859
    6Stockton3717101058:471158
    7Lancaster3816101253:44958
    8Cleethorpes3814121256:461054
    9Leek381571646:50-452
    10Ashton Utd381491543:50-751
    11Bamber Bridge381481651:48350
    12Ilkeston381461849:52-348
    13Warrington3812121441:58-1748
    14Guiseley391381845:55-1047
    15Rushall3811111647:59-1244
    16Whitby3810121641:52-1142
    17Hyde389141554:62-841
    18Workington389131640:55-1540
    19Morpeth381162136:53-1739
    20Prescot387151636:49-1336
    21Stocksbridge388111938:63-2535

          Promotion ~ National League North
          Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
          Relegation