Result
2:2
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 40
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (215/323) | 76% (308/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (215/323) | 76% (308/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (27/70) | 44% (33/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (59/106) | 61% (83/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 15% (5/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.65 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Dobson G. ⚽,
- 7', Cleworth M. 🟨,
- 24', Bennett L. 🟨,
- 39', Loft R. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Bennett L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 1, Stokes J. (Pen),
- 57', 2 - 2, Smith S. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
- 71', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
- 72', Ballard D. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
- 77', McClean J. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
- 77', Rathbone O. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
- 78', Brophy J. ↓, Malone S. ↑,
- 89', Smith S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
18.5% | Draw
26.8% | Wrexham
54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cambridge United - Wrexham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.03 ↑
(3.5) |
3.51 ↓
(3.6) |
1.72 ↓
(1.96) |
6.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Wrexham?
Users Predictions:
Wrexham will win
(26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 0.
- Cambridge is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Wrexham is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jobe M.
(Knee Injury)
Lavery S.
(Inactive)
Marosi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
Thomas G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L.
(Inactive)
Boyle W.
(Inactive)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Inactive)
Palmer O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Ibsen Rossi Z.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Wrexham?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Cambridge United?
Wrexham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Wrexham were as follows:
14.12.2024
Wrexham
-
Cambridge United
2:2
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Wrexham
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
