Cambridge United vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Abbey Stadium (Cambridge).

League One - Round 40
Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	0.79
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
67% (215/323)	76% (308/404)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.80	0.82
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
28	20
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
67% (215/323)	76% (308/404)
Long passes
39% (27/70)	44% (33/75)
Passes in final third
56% (59/106)	61% (83/136)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	15% (5/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.54	0.65
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
43% (3/7)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
62	54
Clearances Total
39	37
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.82	1.80
Goals prevented
-1.18	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Dobson G. ⚽,
7', Cleworth M. 🟨,
24', Bennett L. 🟨,
39', Loft R. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Bennett L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Stokes J. (Pen),
57', 2 - 2, Smith S. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
71', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
72', Ballard D. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
77', McClean J. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
77', Rathbone O. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
78', Brophy J. ↓, Malone S. ↑,
89', Smith S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cambridge United
18.5%

Draw
26.8%

Wrexham
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

25.9%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

25.4%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cambridge United - Wrexham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (3.5)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	1.72 ↓ (1.96)	6.5% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Wrexham?

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 0.
Cambridge is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Wrexham is a favorite.
There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jobe M. (Knee Injury) Lavery S. (Inactive) Marosi M. (Hamstring Injury) Smith K. (Inactive) Thomas G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) O'Connor T. (Inactive) Palmer O. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Cambridge: Andrew D. (Inactive) Ibsen Rossi Z. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C. (Thigh Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Wrexham?

Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Cambridge United?

Wrexham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Wrexham were as follows:

14.12.2024 Wrexham - Cambridge United 2:2

Latest results of Cambridge United

29.03.2025 Cambridge United - Northampton Town 1:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Barnsley - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Cambridge United - Peterborough United 0:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Blackpool - Cambridge United 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Wigan Athletic - Cambridge United 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Wrexham

29.03.2025 Exeter City - Wrexham 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Wrexham - Stockport County 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Wrexham 0:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Reading - Wrexham 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Wrexham - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Luton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two