Result
2:3
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 29
- Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (278/375) | 74% (330/448) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (278/375) | 74% (330/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/68) | 46% (37/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (59/111) | 63% (80/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.14 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Vale H. ⚽,
- 12', Scarr D. 🟨,
- 44', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 54', 1 - 1, Doyle C. ⚽,
- 56', Sheaf B. 🟨,
- 61', Parkinson P. 🟨,
- 61', Smyth P. 🟨,
- 64', Morgan K. ↓, Hayden I. ↑,
- 74', Smyth P. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
- 74', Dembele K. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
- 75', Broadhead N. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
- 75', Sheaf B. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Cook S. ⚽, Madsen N. (A),
- 82', Vale H. ↓, Field S. ↑,
- 84', Scarr D. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
- 84', James M. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
- 90', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kabore I. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Windass J. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Rathbone O. ⚽, Windass J. (A),
Chances of winning
Queens Park Rangers
40% | Draw
28.8% | Wrexham
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park Rangers's form might have worsened.Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Queens Park Rangers - Wrexham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.07) |
3.3 ↓
(3.51) |
3.05 ↓
(3.46) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Queens Park Rangers - Wrexham?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wrexham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Wrexham (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Wrexham (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Wrexham (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Wrexham (votes: 7 - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
- In recent matches, QPR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wrexham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- QPR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in QPR: Burrell R.
(Injury)
Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Clarke-Salter J.
(Inactive)
Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Poku K.
(Injury)
Saito K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L.
(Thigh Injury)
Hardie R.
(Knee Injury)
James A.
(Injury)
Lee E.
(Knee Injury)
Ward D.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in QPR: Esquerdinha
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, QPR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Wrexham?
Queens Park Rangers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Queens Park Rangers?
Wrexham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park Rangers - Wrexham were as follows:
13.09.2025
Wrexham
-
Queens Park Rangers
1:3
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
Latest results of Wrexham
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 78:40 | 38 | 77 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 70 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 66:38 | 28 | 68 |
| 4 | Millwall | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 52:43 | 9 | 68 |
| 5 | Hull | 38 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 59:56 | 3 | 63 |
| 6 | Southampton | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 61:48 | 13 | 60 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 58:50 | 8 | 60 |
| 8 | Derby | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 55:48 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Watford | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 55 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 48:48 | 0 | 53 |
| 11 | Swansea | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:46 | -2 | 52 |
| 12 | Norwich | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:46 | 5 | 51 |
| 13 | Stoke | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 45:40 | 5 | 51 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 51 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 53:52 | 1 | 50 |
| 16 | QPR | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:60 | -11 | 50 |
| 17 | Preston | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 49 |
| 18 | Charlton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 36:45 | -9 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 42 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 36:48 | -12 | 40 |
| 21 | West Brom | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 39:54 | -15 | 40 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 23 | Leicester | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 38 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 38 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 23:76 | -53 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
