Liefering vs SPG Wels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
20/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 22
  • Referee: Bosnjak S. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
25
Corner kicks
47
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
510
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', Muller P. 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Verhounig P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 13', Feyrer S. , Tischler L. ,
  • 20', Sulzbacher V. 🟨,
  • 22', Conte K. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Aguilar E. , Camara A. (A),
  • 43', Zabransky V. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Gashi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 57', 2 - 2, Malinowski S. , Gashi A. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 3, Keckeisen N. , Sahin T. (A),
  • 66', Riquelme , Freund N. ,
  • 66', Ivanschitz I. , Scharner B. ,
  • 72', 2 - 4, Gashi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', Svec M. , Radics A. ,
  • 79', Zangerl J. , Adejenughure O. ,
  • 80', Sahin T. , Bosnjak A. ,
  • 80', Conte K. , Brugger M. ,
  • 85', Hussauf J. , Murillo A. ,
  • 90+2', Aguilar E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Radics A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 5, Thurnwald M. , Malinowski S. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Liefering
46.6%
Draw
27.1%
SPG Wels
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 24.9% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 24.4% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liefering has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liefering's form might have worsened.
  • SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liefering than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liefering, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Liefering - SPG Wels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.75)
    3.41
    (3.72)
    3.52
    (4.15)
    8.1%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Liefering - SPG Wels?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Liefering will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Liefering may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Liefering is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Liefering won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:10. (average 0.5:5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liefering - SPG Wels were as follows:
    19.09.2025 SPG Wels - Liefering 1:1
    07.07.2023 SPG Wels - Liefering 9:0
    Latest results of Liefering
    Latest results of SPG Wels
    13.03.2026 SPG Wels - Kapfenberger SV 3:1
    07.03.2026 Austria Wien II - SPG Wels 1:0
    27.02.2026 SPG Wels - Admira 1:0
    22.02.2026 Amstetten - SPG Wels 1:1
    06.02.2026 SPG Wels - Union Gurten 2:0
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1A. Lustenau23135531:201144
    2St. Polten23142740:261444
    3Floridsdorfer AC24125732:171541
    4Amstetten241010437:271040
    5Admira231010347:252240
    6Austria Vienna (Am)23114829:28137
    7Liefering2397735:38-334
    8First Vienna2395927:24332
    9A. Salzburg2478930:34-429
    10Hertha Wels24761131:33-227
    11SK Rapid II24751229:39-1026
    12A. Klagenfurt23751125:36-1123
    13Kapfenberg23641325:43-1822
    14Sturm Graz II23551322:36-1420
    15Bregenz23391131:45-1415
    16Stripfing ✔ 00000:000

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