Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi).

Super League - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.06	0.36
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
21	5
Shots on target
8	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
81% (272/335)	79% (264/334)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.55	0.21
Total shots
21	5
Shots on target
8	1
Shots off target
12	4
Blocked Shots
1	0
Shots inside the Box
13	3
Shots outside the Box
8	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
34	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
14	10
Passes
81% (272/335)	79% (264/334)
Long passes
52% (26/50)	37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
60% (64/106)	54% (41/76)
Crosses
22% (5/23)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.20
Throw-ins
27	19
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
50% (9/18)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
58	40
Clearances
18	41
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.21	1.55
Goals prevented
0.21	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Long Wei 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Luo Jing ⚽,
41', Zhang Xiangshuo ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wang Jinxian ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Li Songyi (Own goal),
60', Long Wei ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
63', Nene 🟨,
67', Shen Zigui ↓, Zhong Jinbao ↑,
70', Luo Jing ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Han Zilong ⚽, Tang Miao (A),
80', Zhong Jinbao 🟨,
81', Li Songyi ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
81', Ye Chugui ↓, Yi Teng ↑,
81', Liu Yiming ↓, Hang Ren ↑,
85', Hang Ren 🟨,
90+3', Pedro H. (Pen),
90+3', Darlan ↓, Zhang Zhenyang ↑,
90+3', Zheng Kaimu ↓, Liao Chengjian ↑,
90+6', Ionita II A. ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,

Chances of winning

Yunnan Yukun
53.2%

Draw
24.7%

Wuhan Three Towns
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

24.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuhan Three Towns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuhan Three Towns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.14)	3.82 ↓ (3.87)	4.14 ↑ (2.95)	5.7% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 52.1% – 90.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 3 - 60%). Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).
In recent matches, Yunnan Yukun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wuhan Three Towns is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Wuhan Three Towns has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Taty Maritu O. (Red Card) Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Gustavo Sauer (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Burca A. (Inactive) Yi Teng (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Wuhan Three Towns?

Yunnan Yukun has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Wuhan Three Towns won against Yunnan Yukun?

Wuhan Three Towns has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns were as follows:

12.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Yunnan Yukun 3:1

Latest results of Yunnan Yukun

09.08.2025 Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun 5:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua 4:4 ✺

26.07.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City 3:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Guangdong GZ-Power 3:0 ✺

18.07.2025 Zhejiang Professional - Yunnan Yukun 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Wuhan Three Towns

10.08.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka 1:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 0:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Zhejiang Professional - Wuhan Three Towns 3:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:2 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	23	15	5	3	48:18	30	50
2	Shanghai Shenhua	23	15	4	4	49:26	23	49
3	Shanghai Port	23	14	6	3	53:32	21	48
4	Beijing Guoan	23	14	6	3	51:32	19	48
5	Shandong Taishan	23	12	4	7	51:35	16	40
6	Zhejiang Professional	23	9	7	7	46:36	10	34
7	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	23	9	7	7	30:32	-2	34
8	Yunnan Yukun	23	8	6	9	35:44	-9	30
9	Dalian Yingbo	22	8	5	9	21:32	-11	29
10	Qingdao West Coast	22	6	9	7	29:34	-5	27
11	Wuhan Three Towns	23	6	6	11	28:42	-14	24
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	23	6	5	12	38:41	-3	23
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	23	6	2	15	28:50	-22	20
14	Meizhou Hakka	23	4	5	14	28:49	-21	17
15	Qingdao Hainiu	23	3	7	13	21:35	-14	16
16	Changchun Yatai	23	4	4	15	19:37	-18	16

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