Result
2:1
15/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (272/335) | 79% (264/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (272/335) | 79% (264/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (64/106) | 54% (41/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Long Wei 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Luo Jing ⚽,
- 41', Zhang Xiangshuo ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wang Jinxian ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Li Songyi (Own goal),
- 60', Long Wei ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
- 63', Nene 🟨,
- 67', Shen Zigui ↓, Zhong Jinbao ↑,
- 70', Luo Jing ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Han Zilong ⚽, Tang Miao (A),
- 80', Zhong Jinbao 🟨,
- 81', Li Songyi ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
- 81', Ye Chugui ↓, Yi Teng ↑,
- 81', Liu Yiming ↓, Hang Ren ↑,
- 85', Hang Ren 🟨,
- 90+3', Pedro H. (Pen),
- 90+3', Darlan ↓, Zhang Zhenyang ↑,
- 90+3', Zheng Kaimu ↓, Liao Chengjian ↑,
- 90+6', Ionita II A. ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,
Chances of winning
Yunnan Yukun
53.2% | Draw
24.7% | Wuhan Three Towns
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuhan Three Towns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuhan Three Towns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.14) |
3.82 ↓
(3.87) |
4.14 ↑
(2.95) |
5.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 52.1% – 90.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Yunnan Yukun (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 6 - 75%). Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).
- In recent matches, Yunnan Yukun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wuhan Three Towns is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Wuhan Three Towns has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Taty Maritu O.
(Red Card)
Tsui Wang-Kit
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Gustavo Sauer
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Burca A.
(Inactive)
Yi Teng
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Wuhan Three Towns?
Yunnan Yukun has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wuhan Three Towns won against Yunnan Yukun?
Wuhan Three Towns has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns were as follows:
12.04.2025
Wuhan Three Towns
-
Yunnan Yukun
3:1
Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
Latest results of Wuhan Three Towns
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | Liaoning Tieren | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 0 |
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | -6 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | -7 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | -9 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One
