Xerez CD vs Lorca Deportiva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Morros ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Adri 🟥,

Chances of winning


Xerez CD
46.7%
Draw
30.8%
Lorca Deportiva
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 28.7% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 26.8% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez CD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.79)
    2.99
    (3.15)
    4.09
    (4.35)
    8.7%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).
    • Xerez has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lorca Deportiva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lorca Deportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Xerez is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Xerez CD
    09.11.2025 La Unión - Xerez CD 0:1
    26.10.2025 Xerez CD - Minera 1:0
    12.10.2025 Xerez CD - Almeria B 1:0
    Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguilas FC27147635:201549
    2Xerez CD27146728:20848
    3Deportiva Minera27145839:271247
    4CD Extremadura271210541:311046
    5UCAM Murcia27137739:31846
    6Recreativo Huelva27129634:171745
    7Jaen27129634:27745
    8Lorca Deportiva27126927:26142
    9La Union271061133:33036
    10Antoniano271061131:32-136
    11Linares27812731:37-636
    12Yeclano271041322:25-334
    13Puente Genil27891023:30-733
    14Xerez D.F.C277101030:33-331
    15CD Estepona27851428:37-929
    16Melilla275111125:29-426
    17Almeria B27471620:39-1919
    18Malaga B27351922:48-2614

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          Relegation