Result
12/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lorca Deportiva
31.4% | Draw
33.7% | Xerez CD
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Lorca Deportiva - Xerez CD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.5) |
2.69 ↓
(2.88) |
2.59 ↓
(2.79) |
10.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Xerez CD?
Lorca Deportiva has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Xerez CD won against Lorca Deportiva?
Xerez CD has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorca Deportiva - Xerez CD were as follows:
16.11.2025
Xerez CD
-
Lorca Deportiva
0:1
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Latest results of Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | UCAM Murcia | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 43:34 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Aguilas FC | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 39:23 | 16 | 52 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 30:24 | 6 | 51 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:19 | 17 | 51 |
| 7 | Jaen | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 48 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 44 |
| 9 | Linares | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | La Union | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:32 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Estepona | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
| 16 | Melilla | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 21:44 | -23 | 20 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25:55 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
