Xerez CD vs Lorca Deportiva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Morros ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Adri 🟥,

Chances of winning


Xerez CD
46.7%
Draw
30.8%
Lorca Deportiva
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 28.7% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 26.8% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez CD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.79)
    2.99
    (3.15)
    4.09
    (4.35)
    8.7%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).
    • Xerez has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lorca Deportiva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lorca Deportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Xerez is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Xerez CD
    09.11.2025 La Unión - Xerez CD 0:1
    26.10.2025 Xerez CD - Minera 1:0
    12.10.2025 Xerez CD - Almeria B 1:0
    Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguilas FC24137431:151646
    2Recreativo Huelva24118533:161741
    3Deportiva Minera24125734:231141
    4UCAM Murcia24125734:27741
    5Lorca Deportiva24116726:21539
    6Xerez CD24116724:19539
    7Jaen24108629:25438
    8CD Extremadura2399534:29536
    9Yeclano241031121:22-133
    10Antoniano24941128:31-331
    11Linares23710627:32-531
    12La Union2386927:28-130
    13Puente Genil2478921:27-629
    14Xerez D.F.C2469928:31-327
    15Melilla23510821:22-125
    16CD Estepona24651323:34-1123
    17Almeria B24461418:34-1618
    18Malaga B24351618:41-2314

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation