Alina Charaeva vs Xiaodi You – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/02/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
77
1st serve percentage
56%59%
1st serve points won
76% (34/45)64% (29/45)
2nd serve points won
47% (17/36)48% (15/31)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)25% (1/4)
1st return points won
38% (17/45)24% (11/45)
2nd return points won
52% (16/31)53% (19/36)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
63% (51/81)57% (39/68)
Return Points Won
43% (29/68)37% (30/81)
Total Points Won
54% (80/149)46% (69/149)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
82% (9/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)18% (2/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Alina Charaeva
60.2%
Xiaodi You
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alina Charaeva's performance.
  • Xiaodi You has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xiaodi You might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alina Charaeva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xiaodi You could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alina Charaeva - Xiaodi You Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.8)

    2.4
    (1.91)
    5.9%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alina Charaeva - Xiaodi You?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - You (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. You (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Charaeva is ranked WTA: 163. You is ranked WTA: 253.
    • Charaeva is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • You has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • You may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Charaeva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alina Charaeva - Xiaodi You were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Xiaodi You - Alina Charaeva 2:0
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Latest results of Xiaodi You
    04.02.2026 Xiaodi You - Ena Koike 0:2
    30.01.2026 Xiaodi You - Shilin Xu Xu S. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Krueger A. (1)Sebov K.1 : 2
    2Brace C.Cross K.1 : 2
    3Brengle M.Scott K.2 : 0
    4Chang H.Stoiana M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kalieva E. (3)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    6Hosogi S. (Q)Liu C.2 : 1
    7Jokic K.Jones E. (WC)2 : 1
    8Guo H.Chirico L. (7)2 : 1
    9Charaeva A. (5)Xu S. (Q)2 : 0
    10Karatancheva L.You X.0 : 2
    11Ansari C.Hibino N.1 : 2
    12Hewitt D. (Q)Osuigwe W. (4)0 : 2
    13Mandlik E. (6)Frey A. (WC)0 : 2
    14Coleman E. (WC)Day K.0 : 2
    15Lee G.Ma L. (Q)2 : 0
    16Sawashiro K. (WC)Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sebov K.Cross K.2 : 0
    2Brengle M.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    3Kalieva E. (3)Hosogi S.2 : 0
    4Jokic K. (RET.)Guo H.0 : 1
    5Charaeva A. (5)You X.2 : 0
    6Hibino N.Osuigwe W. (4)2 : 0
    7Frey A.Day K.2 : 1
    8Lee G.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sebov K.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    2Kalieva E. (3)Guo H.1 : 2
    3Charaeva A. (5)Hibino N.2 : 0
    4Frey A.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Stoiana M. (8)Guo H.1 : 2
    2Charaeva A. (5)Vidmanova D. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Guo H.Charaeva A. (5)0 : 2