Xin Yu Wang vs Laura Samsonova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
54
1st serve percentage
60%62%
1st serve points won
57% (27/47)64% (32/50)
2nd serve points won
35% (11/31)48% (15/31)
Break Points Saved
6/124/7
1st return points won
36% (18/50)43% (20/47)
2nd return points won
52% (16/31)65% (20/31)
Break Points Converted
3/76/12
Service Points Won
49% (38/78)58% (47/81)
Return Points Won
42% (34/81)51% (40/78)
Total Points Won
45% (72/159)55% (87/159)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
50% (6/12)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)50% (6/12)
Total games won
39% (9/23)61% (14/23)

Chances of winning


Xin Yu Wang
53.3%
Laura Samsonova
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xin Yu Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xin Yu Wang than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Xin Yu Wang - Laura Samsonova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.6)

    2.06
    (2.24)
    4.1%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Xin Yu Wang - Laura Samsonova?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wang will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Samsonova will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wang is ranked WTA: 31. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 171.
    • Wang is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Samsonova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Xin Yu Wang
    16.04.2026 Xin Yu Wang - Sorana Cirstea Wang Xin. Retired
    14.04.2026 Chloe Paquet - Xin Yu Wang 1:2
    12.04.2026 Xin Yu Wang - Harmony Tan 2:1
    20.03.2026 Caty McNally - Xin Yu Wang 2:1
    Latest results of Laura Samsonova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (Q/LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q/LL)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q/LL)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q/LL)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (Q/LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q/LL)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Tauson C. (17)Bye
    38Kalieva E.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q/LL)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q/LL)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q/LL)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q/LL)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q/LL)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q/LL)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Keys M. (16)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q/LL)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)
    19Tauson C. (17)Siniakova K.
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)
    29Keys M. (16)Zhang S.
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1Cristian J. (29)
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bencic B. (11)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Samson L.Bondar A.
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2