Xin Yu Wang vs Varvara Gracheva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 21:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
74%67%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (41/64)56% (38/68)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (8/23)53% (18/34)
Break Points Saved
54% (7/13)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
44% (30/68)36% (23/64)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (16/34)65% (15/23)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)46% (6/13)
Service Points Won
56% (49/87)55% (54/99)
Return Points Won
45% (45/99)44% (38/87)
Total Points Won
51% (94/186)49% (92/186)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Xin Yu Wang
53.9%
Varvara Gracheva
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xin Yu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xin Yu Wang than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xin Yu Wang that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Gracheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Xin Yu Wang - Varvara Gracheva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.87)

    2.05
    (1.87)
    5%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Xin Yu Wang - Varvara Gracheva?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wang will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gracheva will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wang is ranked WTA: 62. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 83.
    • Wang is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Gracheva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Gracheva will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Xin Yu Wang
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Bye
    2Wang Xin.Gracheva V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Golubic V. (LL)Joint M.1 : 2
    4Vondrousova M. (RET.)Muchova K. (8)0 : 1
    5Alexandrova E. (3)Bye
    6Charaeva A. (Q)Cristian J.0 : 2
    7Sonobe W. (WC)Bartunkova N. (WC)2 : 0
    8Uchijima M. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    9Shnaider D. (7)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    10Lamens S. (LL)Kalinskaya A.0 : 2
    11Bucsa C. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    12ByeNoskova L. (6)
    13Mboko V. (9)Andreescu B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Boulter K. (Q)Lys E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L.Sakkari M. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Gracheva V.2 : 0
    2Joint M.Muchova K. (8)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E. (3)Cristian J.2 : 0
    4Sonobe W.Kenin S.1 : 2
    5Shnaider D. (7)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    6Kessler M.Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    7Mboko V. (9)Lys E.2 : 0
    8Fernandez L.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Muchova K. (8)2 : 1
    2Alexandrova E. (3)Kenin S.1 : 2
    3Kalinskaya A. (RET.)Noskova L. (6)0 : 1
    4Mboko V. (9)Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bencic B. (5)Kenin S.2 : 1
    2Noskova L. (WO.) (6)Rybakina E. (2)

    Final
    1Bencic B. (5)Noskova L. (6)2 : 0