Yagüe vs Villegas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, ,
  • 36', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 82', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Yagüe
67.8%
Draw
20.3%
Villegas
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 24.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 21.5% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yagüe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yagüe's performance.
  • Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yagüe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villegas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yagüe - Villegas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.48)
    4.51
    (3.55)
    7.73
    (5.25)
    9.1%
    (14.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Yagüe - Villegas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Yagüe (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Yagüe (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Yagüe (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).
    • Yagüe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Villegas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Yagüe is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Yagüe
    18.01.2026 Autol - Yagüe 0:1
    10.01.2026 Calahorra - Yagüe 6:0
    03.01.2026 Yagüe - Berceo 2:2
    20.12.2025 Yagüe - Comillas 0:1
    Latest results of Villegas
    17.01.2026 Villegas - Calahorra 1:4
    10.01.2026 Villegas - Comillas 2:2
    04.01.2026 Vianés - Villegas 3:0
    20.12.2025 Villegas - Arnedo 0:2
    13.12.2025 San Marcial - Villegas 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B24177057:144358
    2Varea24184241:152658
    3Anguiano24137434:191546
    4Arnedo24128444:212344
    5Oyonesa24124836:30640
    6Calahorra24109557:193839
    7Agoncillo24116743:291439
    8Haro Deportivo24105938:37135
    9Yague2489736:32433
    10Vianes24861026:32-630
    11Pradejon24761121:28-727
    12Berceo24681029:36-726
    13CDFC Calzada24751228:37-926
    14San Marcial24751225:37-1226
    15Comillas24731420:45-2524
    16Villegas24641423:49-2622
    17Autol24341717:54-3713
    18Pena Balsamaiso24081616:57-418

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation