Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Yagüe 67.8% | Draw 20.3% | Villegas 11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yagüe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yagüe's performance.Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yagüe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villegas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yagüe - Villegas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.48) |
4.51 ↑ (3.55) |
7.73 ↑ (5.25) |
9.1% (14.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yagüe - Villegas?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Yagüe (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yagüe will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Yagüe (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).
- Yagüe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Villegas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Yagüe is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Yagüe won against Villegas?
Yagüe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villegas won against Yagüe?
Villegas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yagüe - Villegas were as follows:
Latest results of Villegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 33 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 94:22 | 72 | 83 |
| 2 | Varea | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 71:26 | 45 | 69 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 82:22 | 60 | 62 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 58 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 57 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:57 | -18 | 39 |
| 11 | Berceo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Yague | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:46 | -17 | 35 |
| 15 | Comillas | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 31:58 | -27 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 36:65 | -29 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18:79 | -61 | 15 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 33 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 27:81 | -54 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation