Yagüe vs Villegas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, ,
  • 36', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 82', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Yagüe
67.8%
Draw
20.3%
Villegas
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 24.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 21.5% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yagüe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yagüe's performance.
  • Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yagüe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villegas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yagüe - Villegas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.48)
    4.51
    (3.55)
    7.73
    (5.25)
    9.1%
    (14.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Yagüe - Villegas?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Yagüe (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yagüe will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Yagüe (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).
    • Yagüe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Villegas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Yagüe is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Yagüe
    18.01.2026 Autol - Yagüe 0:1
    10.01.2026 Calahorra - Yagüe 6:0
    03.01.2026 Yagüe - Berceo 2:2
    20.12.2025 Yagüe - Comillas 0:1
    Latest results of Villegas
    17.01.2026 Villegas - Calahorra 1:4
    10.01.2026 Villegas - Comillas 2:2
    04.01.2026 Vianés - Villegas 3:0
    20.12.2025 Villegas - Arnedo 0:2
    13.12.2025 San Marcial - Villegas 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B33258094:227283
    2Varea33227451:242773
    3Arnedo33209471:264569
    4Calahorra331711582:226062
    5Oyonesa33177953:411258
    6Anguiano33169847:361157
    7Haro Deportivo331491054:45951
    8Agoncillo331381258:471147
    9Vianes331091437:50-1339
    10San Marcial331091439:57-1839
    11Berceo331091441:48-739
    12Yague339121244:48-439
    13CDFC Calzada33981637:54-1735
    14Pradejon33981629:46-1735
    15Comillas331051831:58-2735
    16Villegas33771936:65-2928
    17Autol33362418:79-6115
    18Pena Balsamaiso330112227:81-5411

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