Yanbian Longding vs Nanjing City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji).

League One - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.91	0.76
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
12	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
92% (483/525)	76% (174/228)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
3.10	0.87
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
12	2
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
16	5
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
38	9
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
6	3
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
92% (483/525)	76% (174/228)
Long passes
80% (36/45)	47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
87% (133/153)	52% (29/56)
Crosses
32% (6/19)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
3.21	0.44
Throw-ins
8	13
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
86% (6/7)	100% (7/7)
Duels won
23	23
Clearances
15	18
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.87	3.10
Goals prevented
-0.13	-2.90

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Brown F. ⚽,
42', Ding Yunfeng 🟨,
43', Ding Yunfeng 🟨,
45+1', Wang Xijie 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Lupeta J. ⚽, Du Junpeng (A),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Wang Zihao ↓, Li Qiang ↑,
46', Han Guangmin ↓, Jin Taiyan ↑,
46', Li Long ↓, Piao Shihao ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Huang Zhenfei ⚽, Piao Shihao (A),
68', 3 - 1, Brown F. ⚽,
70', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Wang Chengkuai ↑,
70', Wang Xijie ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
72', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Xu Jizu ⚽,
82', Li R. ↓, Ukachukwu P. ↑,
85', 5 - 1, Ukachukwu P. ⚽, Brown F. (A),
86', 6 - 1, Brown F. ⚽, Ukachukwu P. (A),

Chances of winning

Yanbian Longding
64.4%

Draw
22.3%

Nanjing City
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanbian Longding's performance.

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nanjing City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yanbian Longding that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)	4.15 ↑ (3.3)	6.94 ↑ (4.88)	8.1% (10.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).
Yanbian Longding is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nanjing City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Yanbian Longding has had a series of away games.
In this match, Yanbian Longding is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Yanbian Longding won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Yanbian Longding won against Nanjing City?

Yanbian Longding has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nanjing City won against Yanbian Longding?

Nanjing City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City were as follows:

06.07.2025 Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding 1:1

20.07.2024 Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City 1:2

23.03.2024 Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding 0:1

02.09.2023 Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding 1:0

20.05.2023 Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City 1:0

Latest results of Yanbian Longding

01.11.2025 Nantong Zhiyun - Yanbian Longding 0:1 ✺

26.10.2025 Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yanbian Longding 0:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi 4:1 ✺

12.10.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Yanbian Longding 1:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Dingnan United - Yanbian Longding 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Nanjing City

01.11.2025 Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren 1:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City 2:3 ✺

19.10.2025 Nanjing City - Dingnan United 2:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Guangdong GZ-Power - Nanjing City 4:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:3 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	30	20	8	2	64:27	37	68
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	30	18	6	6	52:32	20	60
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	30	18	6	6	55:35	20	60
4	Yanbian Longding	30	16	7	7	43:25	18	55
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	30	12	11	7	39:31	8	47
6	Dingnan Ganlian	30	11	11	8	40:35	5	44
7	Nantong Zhiyun	30	12	7	11	44:31	13	43
8	Dalian K'un City	30	11	9	10	42:38	4	42
9	Shaanxi Union	30	10	9	11	48:47	1	39
10	Suzhou Dongwu	30	9	11	10	25:28	-3	38
11	Nanjing City	30	9	9	12	40:48	-8	36
12	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	30	8	6	16	26:44	-18	30
13	Foshan Nanshi	30	7	8	15	27:49	-22	29
14	Shenzhen Juniors	30	8	4	18	38:60	-22	28
15	Guangxi Pingguo	30	6	7	17	24:47	-23	25
16	Qingdao Red Lions	30	2	7	21	20:50	-30	13

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ League Two