Yanki Erel vs Niels McDonald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/03/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fujairah - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
54
1st serve percentage
64%64%
1st serve points won
69% (34/49)57% (28/49)
2nd serve points won
39% (11/28)36% (10/28)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)58% (7/12)
1st return points won
45% (22/49)39% (19/49)
2nd return points won
64% (18/28)61% (17/28)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)29% (2/7)
Winners
1718
Unforced errors
3239
Net points won
50% (4/8)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
59% (44/74)51% (38/75)
Return Points Won
49% (37/75)41% (30/74)
Total Points Won
54% (81/149)46% (68/149)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)55% (6/11)
Return games won
45% (5/11)20% (2/10)
Total games won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Yanki Erel
70.4%
Niels McDonald
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yanki Erel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Yanki Erel - Niels McDonald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.31)

    3.15
    (3.38)
    7.1%
    (5.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Erel is ranked ATP: 385. McDonald is ranked ATP: 1032.
    • Erel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • McDonald has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Erel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Yanki Erel
    Latest results of Niels McDonald
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Matsuoka H. (1)Murtaza M. (WC)2 : 0
    2Ostapenkov D. (Alt)Matsuda R. (12)2 : 1
    3Alcantara F. C. (Alt)Karki R. (JR)0 : 2
    4Chopra K. (WC)Orlov V. (11)0 : 2
    5Wu Tung-Lin (3)Betov S. (WC)2 : 0
    6Lopez Morillo I.Takahashi Y. (10)2 : 1
    7Alkaya M. (4)Kirkin E.2 : 0
    8Nakagawa S. (Alt)Kumasaka T. (8)0 : 2
    9Erel Y. (5)McDonald N. (WC)2 : 0
    10Kusuhara Y.Gengel M. (7)0 : 2
    11Caniato C. A. (6)Ivashka I. (Alt)0 : 2
    12Balshaw F.Huang T. (9)2 : 0

    Final
    1Matsuoka H. (1)Ostapenkov D.1 : 1
    2Karki R.Orlov V. (11)0 : 2
    3Wu Tung-Lin (3)Lopez Morillo I.2 : 0
    4Alkaya M. (4)Kumasaka T. (8)
    5Erel Y. (5)Gengel M. (7)0 : 0
    6Ivashka I.Balshaw F.