Yannick Hanfmann vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Brussels Yannick Hanfmann - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
2:1
15/10/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Brussels, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1611
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
66%69%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (49/63)74% (52/70)
2nd Serve Points Won
66% (21/32)47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
26% (18/70)22% (14/63)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (17/32)34% (11/32)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)33% (1/3)
Unforced Errors
147
Net Points Won
200% (16/8)43% (6/14)
Service Points Won
74% (70/95)65% (68/104)
Return Points Won
35% (36/104)26% (25/95)
Total Points Won
53% (106/199)47% (93/199)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
94% (15/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)6% (1/16)
Total Games Won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Yannick Hanfmann
54.5%
Matteo Arnaldi
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yannick Hanfmann's performance.
  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yannick Hanfmann that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yannick Hanfmann - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.96)

    2.09
    (1.84)
    4.9%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Yannick Hanfmann - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hanfmann (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 139. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 74.
    • Hanfmann is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Arnaldi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hanfmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Yannick Hanfmann
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Bye
    2Hanfmann Y. (Q)Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    3Halys Q.Basilashvili N. (Q)0 : 2
    4Ruusuvuori E. (PR)Mpetshi Perricard G. (5)1 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (3)Bye
    6Altmaier D.Bailly G. A. (Q)1 : 2
    7Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    8Royer V. (LL)Baez S. (6)2 : 0
    9Bergs Z. (8)Collignon R. (WC)0 : 2
    10Comesana F.Goffin D. (WC)2 : 0
    11Giron M.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    12ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (4)
    13Fonseca J. (7)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    14Spizzirri E. (Q)Martinez P.2 : 0
    15Cina F. (WC)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    16ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    2Basilashvili N. (RET.)Mpetshi Perricard G. (5)0 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (3)Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    4Bonzi B.Royer V.2 : 1
    5Collignon R.Comesana F.2 : 1
    6Giron M.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)1 : 2
    7Van De Zandschulp B.Spizzirri E.0 : 2
    8Dzumhur D.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G. (5)0 : 2
    2Lehecka J. (3)Bonzi B. (RET.)1 : 1
    3Collignon R.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)2 : 0
    4Spizzirri E.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mpetshi Perricard G. (5)Lehecka J. (3)
    2Collignon R.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2