Yannick Hanfmann vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/02/2026 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
60%75%
1st serve points won
74% (34/46)61% (43/70)
2nd serve points won
58% (18/31)30% (7/23)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)67% (10/15)
1st return points won
39% (27/70)26% (12/46)
2nd return points won
70% (16/23)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
33% (5/15)25% (2/8)
Winners
4616
Unforced errors
3822
Net points won
79% (15/19)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
68% (52/77)54% (50/93)
Return Points Won
46% (43/93)32% (25/77)
Total Points Won
56% (95/170)44% (75/170)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
83% (10/12)62% (8/13)
Return games won
38% (5/13)17% (2/12)
Total games won
60% (15/25)40% (10/25)

Chances of winning


Yannick Hanfmann
73.2%
Vilius Gaubas
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yannick Hanfmann's performance.
  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilius Gaubas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yannick Hanfmann that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yannick Hanfmann - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.57)

    3.61
    (2.41)
    4%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Yannick Hanfmann - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 74.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yannick Hanfmann will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 81. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 107.
    • Hanfmann is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gaubas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hanfmann might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Nava E.2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y.Gaubas V.2 : 1
    3Tabilo A. (8)Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Pellegrino A.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Hanfmann Y.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2