Result
3:1
01/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
84% (347/415) | 79% (282/358) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 0.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.25 | 0.30 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
8 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
84% (347/415) | 79% (282/358) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (40/66) | 45% (30/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (95/132) | 66% (61/93) |
Crosses |
---|
63% (5/8) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.28 | 0.51 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (14/22) | 88% (14/16) |
Duels won |
---|
63 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 8 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.30 | 2.25 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.70 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽,
- 16', Grueso S. 🟨,
- 32', Amaya M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Amaya M. ↓, Canon M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Alvarez L. ↓, Campaz A. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez V. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
- 54', Grueso S. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 0, Covea M. ⚽, Reinoso L. (A),
- 60', Marquez M. ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Mosquera L. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
- 65', Vargas C. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 71', Hernandez J. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
- 71', Covea M. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 78', Navas Barrera V. H. ↓, Ordonez E. ↑,
- 85', Reinoso L. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caracas 64.6% | Draw 22.4% | Yaracuyanos 13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caracas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Caracas - Yaracuyanos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↓ (1.63) |
4.25 ↑ (3.6) |
7.36 ↑ (5.6) |
4.7% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caracas - Yaracuyanos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Caracas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Caracas will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caracas is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Yaracuyanos?
Caracas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yaracuyanos won against Caracas?
Yaracuyanos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Yaracuyanos were as follows:
27.03.2025
Yaracuyanos
-
Caracas
3:3
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Yaracuyanos
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | La Guaira ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29:8 | 21 | 31 |
2 | Dep. Tachira ✔ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
3 | Carabobo ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Monagas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Caracas ✔ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
6 | Zamora ✔ | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 19 |
7 | Estudiantes Merida | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
8 | Puerto Cabello | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
9 | Metropolitanos | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Universidad Central | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Rayo Zuliano | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 13 |
12 | Anzoategui FC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Portuguesa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
14 | Yaracuyanos | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Dep. Tachira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Carabobo is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Zamora is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )