Result
3:1
01/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/415) | 79% (282/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/415) | 79% (282/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (40/66) | 45% (30/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (95/132) | 66% (61/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽,
- 16', Grueso S. 🟨,
- 32', Amaya M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Amaya M. ↓, Canon M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Alvarez L. ↓, Campaz A. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez V. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
- 54', Grueso S. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 0, Covea M. ⚽, Reinoso L. (A),
- 60', Marquez M. ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Mosquera L. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
- 65', Vargas C. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 71', Hernandez J. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
- 71', Covea M. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 78', Navas Barrera V. H. ↓, Ordonez E. ↑,
- 85', Reinoso L. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caracas
64.6% | Draw
22.4% | Yaracuyanos
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caracas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Caracas - Yaracuyanos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.63) |
4.25 ↑
(3.6) |
7.36 ↑
(5.6) |
4.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caracas - Yaracuyanos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Caracas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Caracas will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caracas is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Yaracuyanos?
Caracas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yaracuyanos won against Caracas?
Yaracuyanos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Yaracuyanos were as follows:
27.03.2025
Yaracuyanos
-
Caracas
3:3
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Yaracuyanos
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Monagas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Final: )
