Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.41 | 0.96 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
86% (401/464) | 80% (274/341) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.41 | 0.96 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.92 | 1.40 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
86% (401/464) | 80% (274/341) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (24/52) | 50% (32/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (83/117) | 68% (62/91) |
Crosses |
---|
39% (7/18) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.74 | 0.33 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
88% (14/16) | 81% (17/21) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 54 |
Clearances Total |
---|
13 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.40 | 0.92 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.60 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 23', Torres J. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Uribe A. (Pen),
- 38', 0 - 2, Lamadrid K. ⚽, Perdomo J. (A),
- 44', 1 - 2, Vargas C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Castillo S. ↓, Sulbaran M. ↑,
- 46', Gutierrez J. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
- 46', Torres J. ↓, Palacio K. ↑,
- 46', Ordonez E. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
- 46', Ibarguen L. ↓, Machado S. ↑,
- 57', Pena L. 🟨,
- 67', Perdomo J. ↓, Castellanos J. ↑,
- 67', Ibarra R. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 67', Navas Barrera V. H. ↓, Rodriguez Qulnones E. D. ↑,
- 67', Vargas C. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 80', Meza J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 83', Palacio K. 🟨,
- 89', Flores F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Yaracuyanos 21% | Draw 27.7% | Deportivo La Guaira 51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaracuyanos's form might have worsened.Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo La Guaira's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yaracuyanos - Deportivo La Guaira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.39 ↑ (2.83) |
3.33 ↑ (3.25) |
1.79 ↓ (2.37) |
8.7% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Yaracuyanos - Deportivo La Guaira?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo La Guaira will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Yaracuyanos won 1.
- Yaracuyanos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Deportivo La Guaira is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Yaracuyanos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Deportivo La Guaira is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Yaracuyanos won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:20 (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Yaracuyanos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Yaracuyanos won against Deportivo La Guaira?
Yaracuyanos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Guaira won against Yaracuyanos?
Deportivo La Guaira has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yaracuyanos - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
Latest results of Yaracuyanos
Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | La Guaira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | 9 | 12 |
2 | Dep. Tachira | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Caracas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
5 | Puerto Cabello | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
7 | Monagas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
8 | Anzoategui FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
9 | Universidad Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Metropolitanos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Portuguesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
13 | Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
14 | Yaracuyanos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )