Result
1:0
01/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (119/200) | 82% (359/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (119/200) | 82% (359/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (40/79) | 71% (119/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 44', Grassano T. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Castro M. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
- 46', Cuero J. ↓, Campaz A. ↑,
- 52', Vides B. ↓, Univaso A. ↑,
- 61', Univaso A. 🟨,
- 63', Gallardo E. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
- 64', Sequera J. ↓, Valladares I. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Romero A. ⚽, Valladares I. (A),
- 73', Canon M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 73', Ordonez E. ↓, Navas Barrera V. H. ↑,
- 79', Flores A. ↓, Porcile P. ↑,
- 80', Moreno J. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
- 89', Campaz A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zamora 55.8% | Draw 24.8% | Yaracuyanos 19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Yaracuyanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Zamora - Yaracuyanos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.65 ↑ (1.54) |
3.7 ↑ (3.68) |
4.73 ↓ (6.01) |
9% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zamora - Yaracuyanos?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Yaracuyanos will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamora: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Zamora (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Yaracuyanos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 3.
- Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Yaracuyanos has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Yaracuyanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Zamora is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zamora won against Yaracuyanos?
Zamora has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yaracuyanos won against Zamora?
Yaracuyanos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamora - Yaracuyanos were as follows:
02.07.2025
Yaracuyanos
-
Zamora
0:2
11.06.2025
Zamora
-
Yaracuyanos
3:2
22.02.2025
Yaracuyanos
-
Zamora
2:2
Latest results of Yaracuyanos
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Monagas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Final: )