Result
2:1
30/03/2026 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 69% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 71% (47/66) | 59% (48/81) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 46% (17/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 12/17 | 7/12 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 42% (34/81) | 29% (19/66) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 53% (31/58) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/12 | 5/17 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 74 | 64 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 64% (7/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (74/124) | 57% (65/115) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (50/115) | 40% (50/124) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (124/239) | 48% (115/239) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 72% (13/18) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 28% (5/18) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (18/36) | 50% (18/36) |
Chances of winning
Yaroslav Demin
46.6% | Michael Vrbensky
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Yaroslav Demin - Michael Vrbensky Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.05) |
|
1.74 ↑
(1.68) |
7.4%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Yaroslav Demin - Michael Vrbensky?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Demin will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Vrbensky will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vrbensky: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Demin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vrbensky (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Demin is ranked ATP: 699. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 568.
- Demin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vrbensky's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Demin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Yaroslav Demin won against Michael Vrbensky?
Yaroslav Demin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Vrbensky won against Yaroslav Demin?
Michael Vrbensky has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yaroslav Demin - Michael Vrbensky were as follows:
Latest results of Yaroslav Demin
Latest results of Michael Vrbensky
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Royer V. (1) | Butvilas E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Martinez A. (Q) | Pereira T. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Martin Tiffon P. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Gombos N. | Gakhov I. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kolar Z. (4) | Callejon H. S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Andaloro F. | Paulson A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Damas M. | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Rincon D. | Ferreira Silva F. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Moro Canas A. (7) | Agamenone F. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Blanch D. (Q) | Hemery C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Demin Y. (Q) | Forejtek J. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Virgili Berini F. (WC) | Carballes Baena R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Engel J. (5) | Montes-De La Torre I. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Kopp S. | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Martineau M. | Vives Marcos P. (RET.) (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Brancaccio R. (Alt) | Ofner S. (RET.) (2) | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Royer V. (1) | Martinez A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Martin Tiffon P. | Gakhov I. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Callejon H. S. | Paulson A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Rincon D. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Moro Canas A. (7) | Blanch D. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Forejtek J. | Carballes Baena R. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Engel J. (5) | Sanchez Quilez A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Martineau M. | Brancaccio R. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Martinez A. | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Callejon H. S. | Rincon D. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Blanch D. | Forejtek J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sanchez Quilez A. | Brancaccio R. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Martinez A. | Rincon D. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Blanch D. | Brancaccio R. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Martinez A. | Brancaccio R. | 0 : 2 |
