Yaroslav Demin vs Stefano Napolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oberhaching, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
44

Chances of winning


Yaroslav Demin
35.5%
Stefano Napolitano
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yaroslav Demin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaroslav Demin's form might have worsened.
  • Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Yaroslav Demin - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.22)

    1.44
    (1.56)
    7.7%
    (9.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Demin is ranked ATP: 701. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 436.
    • Demin has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Napolitano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Demin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Napolitano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Yaroslav Demin
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Jubb P. (1)Zick S.2 : 0
    2Gruenig G.Lorusso L.1 : 2
    3Krutykh O.Filar K.1 : 2
    4McDonald N.Story J. (5)2 : 1
    5Brunold M. (4)Hausberger G.2 : 0
    6Oradini G.Donald M.2 : 1
    7Reisach V.Agwi M.2 : 0
    8Thomas F.Malige M. (6)0 : 2
    9Masur D. (7)Hurrion M.2 : 0
    10Planinsek F. J.Majdandzic M.0 : 2
    11Naw H.Filip J.2 : 0
    12Dullinger V.Moeller M. (3)1 : 2
    13Rehberg M. H. (8)Schoenhaus M.2 : 0
    14Kelm Y.Demin Y.1 : 2
    15Barsukov N.Romano F.0 : 2
    16Bastiaansen P.Napolitano S. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Jubb P. (1)Lorusso L.2 : 0
    2Filar K.McDonald N.1 : 2
    3Brunold M. (4)Oradini G.2 : 0
    4Reisach V.Malige M. (6)0 : 2
    5Masur D. (7)Majdandzic M.2 : 1
    6Naw H.Moeller M. (3)0 : 2
    7Rehberg M. H. (8)Demin Y.1 : 2
    8Romano F.Napolitano S. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jubb P. (1)McDonald N.2 : 1
    2Brunold M. (4)Malige M. (6)2 : 1
    3Masur D. (7)Moeller M. (3)0 : 2
    4Demin Y.Napolitano S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jubb P. (1)Brunold M. (4)2 : 0
    2Moeller M. (WO.) (3)Napolitano S. (2)

    Final
    1Jubb P. (1)Moeller M. (3)2 : 0