Result
2:1
05/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (45/59) | 59% (35/59) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 61% (23/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 69% (9/13) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 24% (14/59) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (15/38) | 44% (14/32) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 50% (2/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (63/91) | 60% (58/97) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (39/97) | 31% (28/91) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (102/188) | 46% (86/188) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 43% (13/30) |
Chances of winning
Yasutaka Uchiyama
59.5% | Rio Noguchi
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yasutaka Uchiyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yasutaka Uchiyama's performance.Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+4%)
Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.81) |
|
2.37 ↑
(1.86) |
6.1%
(8.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi?
Users Predictions:
Yasutaka Uchiyama will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yasutaka Uchiyama will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 225. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 219.
- Uchiyama is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Noguchi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Uchiyama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchiyama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Yasutaka Uchiyama won against Rio Noguchi?
Yasutaka Uchiyama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Noguchi won against Yasutaka Uchiyama?
Rio Noguchi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi were as follows:
10.01.2024
Yasutaka Uchiyama
-
Rio Noguchi
Uchiyama Y. retired
Latest results of Yasutaka Uchiyama
Latest results of Rio Noguchi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Evans D. (1) | Xiao L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Peliwo F. (Q) | van Assche L. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zeppieri G. | Onclin G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bar Biryukov P. (LL) | Shimabukuro S. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Nishioka Y. (RET.) (3) | Zhou Y. (NG) | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Isomura K. (Q) | Tokuda R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Samrej K. (Q) | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cui J. (WC) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | McCabe J. (5) | Sun F. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Te R. (RET.) (WC) | Jasika O. | 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Bai Y. | Huang T. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Zeng Y. (Q) | Tomic B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Zhukayev B. (6) | Simakin I. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Uchiyama Y. | Gea A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Crawford O. | Sharipov M. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Noguchi R. | Watanuki Y. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Evans D. (RET.) (1) | Peliwo F. | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Zeppieri G. | Bar Biryukov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Zhou Y. | Tokuda R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Samrej K. | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sun F. | Jasika O. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Huang T. | Tomic B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Simakin I. | Uchiyama Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Crawford O. | Noguchi R. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Peliwo F. | Zeppieri G. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Zhou Y. | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Jasika O. | Tomic B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Uchiyama Y. | Noguchi R. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zeppieri G. | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tomic B. (4) | Uchiyama Y. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Zeppieri G. | Uchiyama Y. | 2 : 0 |
