Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka Uchiyama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
09
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
73%60%
1st serve points won
63% (55/87)77% (46/60)
2nd serve points won
55% (18/33)38% (15/40)
Break Points Saved
5/95/9
1st return points won
23% (14/60)37% (32/87)
2nd return points won
63% (25/40)45% (15/33)
Break Points Converted
4/94/9
Winners
1849
Unforced errors
3271
Net points won
50% (10/20)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
61% (73/120)61% (61/100)
Return Points Won
39% (39/100)39% (47/120)
Total Points Won
51% (112/220)49% (108/220)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
20
Service games won
76% (13/17)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)24% (4/17)
Total games won
52% (17/33)48% (16/33)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
45.2%
Yasutaka Uchiyama
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.09)

    1.71
    (1.65)
    7%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uchiyama will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 245. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 308.
    • Noguchi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Uchiyama is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Uchiyama will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama were as follows:
    05.09.2025 Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi 2:1
    10.01.2024 Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi Uchiyama Y. retired
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    26.03.2026 Liam Broady - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    26.03.2026 Li Tu - Rio Noguchi 1:2
    24.03.2026 Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    04.03.2026 Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo Canceled
    Latest results of Yasutaka Uchiyama
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Honda N. (WC)0 : 2
    2Broady L.Trotter J. K.2 : 0
    3Tu L. (Alt)Overbeck C. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    6Shimizu Y.Cui J. (Q)2 : 1
    7Samrej K. (Q)Jubb P.0 : 2
    8Wendelken H.Zhou Y. (5)2 : 1
    9Uchida K. (6)Sun F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shin S.Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Jones M.Uchiyama Y.1 : 2
    12Isomura K. (WC)Added D. (3)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (8)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H.Milic O. (NG)2 : 1
    15Ellis B. (PR)Kwon S.0 : 2
    16Tokuda R.Holmgren A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Honda N.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Tu L.Noguchi R. (7)1 : 2
    3Hsu Y. H. (4)Shimizu Y.1 : 2
    4Jubb P.Wendelken H.1 : 2
    5Sun F.Imamura M.2 : 1
    6Uchiyama Y.Added D. (3)2 : 0
    7McCabe J. (8)Matsuoka H.0 : 2
    8Kwon S.Holmgren A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Broady L.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Wendelken H.0 : 2
    3Sun F.Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H.Kwon S. (RET.)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Noguchi R. (7)Wendelken H.2 : 1
    2Uchiyama Y.Matsuoka H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Noguchi R. (7)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1