Merthyr Town vs Yate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 40

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
62.4%
Draw
19.4%
Yate Town
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 20.9% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 19.8% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Merthyr Town's performance.
  • Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Merthyr Town - Yate Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.59)
    4.72
    (4.32)
    5.02
    (4.06)
    9.3%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 2.
    • Recent matches Merthyr is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Yate is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Merthyr is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Yate Town were as follows:
    26.12.2022 Yate Town - Merthyr Town 2:2
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Latest results of Yate Town
    English Southern League South Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walton & Hersham ✔ 40294793:405391
    2Gloucester ✔ 40247991:494279
    3Farnham ✔ 38238785:483777
    4Poole402011975:472871
    5Berkhamsted402091160:491169
    6Sholing401714968:511765
    7Chertsey4018101262:501264
    8Havant & W401771677:651258
    9Uxbridge4015121370:66457
    10Gosport391761665:66-157
    11Bracknell401591667:66154
    12Plymouth Parkway401481856:76-2050
    13Hanwell Town391391754:59-548
    14Basingstoke401391857:68-1148
    15Wimborne3911131552:57-546
    16Yate Town4012101852:60-846
    17Evesham4011131650:59-946
    18Taunton391281962:70-844
    19Weymouth401282048:68-2044
    20Dorchester409121948:75-2739
    21Hungerford ✔ 409102147:86-3937
    22Tiverton ✔ 38533036:100-6418

          Promotion ~ National League South
          Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Walton & Hersham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League South
    Gloucester is Qualified for Southern League Premier South (Play Offs )
    Farnham is Qualified for Southern League Premier South (Play Offs )
    Hungerford is Relegated to
    Tiverton is Relegated to