Luca Castelnuovo vs Ye Cong Mo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Guangzhou 2 Challenger Men Luca Castelnuovo - Ye Cong Mo
Result
2:1
08/09/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
3014
Double Faults
66
1st Serve Percentage
67%63%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (51/64)81% (50/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (13/32)41% (15/37)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
19% (12/62)20% (13/64)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (22/37)59% (19/32)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
67% (64/96)66% (65/99)
Return Points Won
34% (34/99)33% (32/96)
Total Points Won
50% (98/195)50% (97/195)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Luca Castelnuovo
55.5%
Ye Cong Mo
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Ye Cong Mo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ye Cong Mo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Luca Castelnuovo - Ye Cong Mo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.6)

    2.09
    (2.18)
    7.6%
    (8.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 486. Mo is ranked ATP: 718.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castelnuovo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Castelnuovo - Ye Cong Mo were as follows:
    15.07.2023 Ye Cong Mo - Luca Castelnuovo 0:2
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Latest results of Ye Cong Mo
    07.09.2025 Xing Dao Chen - Ye Cong Mo 0:2
    26.08.2025 Fajing Sun - Ye Cong Mo 2:1
    21.08.2025 Sanhui Shin - Ye Cong Mo 2:1
    19.08.2025 Seongbin Sim - Ye Cong Mo 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1O'Connell C. (1)Te R. (WC)2 : 0
    2Samrej K. (Q)Eubanks C.0 : 2
    3Castelnuovo L. (Q)Jasika O.2 : 0
    4Sharipov M.Daniel T. (9)2 : 1
    5Basavareddy N. (3)Ramanathan R. (Q)2 : 0
    6Zhu E. (LL)Zeppieri G.0 : 2
    7Kikuchi Y. (Q)Hsu Y. H.1 : 2
    8Kotov P.Tabilo A. (6)0 : 2
    9Harris B. (8)Yevseyev D. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Gea A.Binda A. (Q)2 : 0
    11Onclin G.Simakin I.2 : 0
    12McCabe J.Basilashvili N. (4)2 : 0
    13Evans D. (7)Chen C. (WC)2 : 0
    14Crawford O.Xiao L. (WC)2 : 0
    15Bar Biryukov P. (Alt)Zhang T. (Q)2 : 0
    16Shimizu Y.Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1O'Connell C. (1)Eubanks C.2 : 1
    2Castelnuovo L.Sharipov M.1 : 2
    3Basavareddy N. (3)Zeppieri G. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Hsu Y. H.Tabilo A. (6)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (8)Gea A.2 : 0
    6Onclin G.McCabe J. (RET.)1 : 0
    7Evans D. (7)Crawford O.2 : 1
    8Bar Biryukov P. (RET.)Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1O'Connell C. (1)Sharipov M.2 : 0
    2Basavareddy N. (3)Tabilo A. (6)1 : 2
    3Harris B. (8)Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Evans D. (RET.) (7)Cerundolo J. M. (2)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1O'Connell C. (RET.) (1)Tabilo A. (6)0 : 0
    2Harris B. (8)Cerundolo J. M. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Tabilo A. (6)Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2