Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikori – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
50
Double Faults
53
1st serve percentage
60%57%
1st serve points won
70% (33/47)64% (29/45)
2nd serve points won
58% (18/31)44% (15/34)
Break Points Saved
2/54/9
1st return points won
36% (16/45)30% (14/47)
2nd return points won
56% (19/34)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
5/93/5
Winners
2514
Unforced errors
3541
Net points won
40% (2/5)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
65% (51/78)56% (44/79)
Return Points Won
44% (35/79)35% (27/78)
Total Points Won
55% (86/157)45% (71/157)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
77% (10/13)58% (7/12)
Return games won
42% (5/12)23% (3/13)
Total games won
60% (15/25)40% (10/25)

Chances of winning


Yibing Wu
59.2%
Kei Nishikori
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Yibing Wu - Kei Nishikori Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.65)

    2.29
    (2.09)
    7.1%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Yibing Wu - Kei Nishikori?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nishikori will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nishikori (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wu is ranked ATP: 115. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 491.
    • Wu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nishikori has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nishikori may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
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