Yosuke Watanuki vs Daniel Altmaier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Toronto Yosuke Watanuki - Daniel Altmaier
Result
2:1
28/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
89
Double Faults
65
1st Serve Percentage
39%45%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (22/27)77% (27/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (27/43)47% (20/43)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
34% (12/35)22% (6/27)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (23/43)37% (16/43)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)50% (2/4)
Winners
1715
Unforced Errors
4016
Net Points Won
50% (5/10)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
70% (48/69)60% (46/77)
Return Points Won
40% (31/77)30% (21/69)
Total Points Won
54% (79/146)46% (67/146)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Yosuke Watanuki
40.2%
Daniel Altmaier
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 66.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.
  • Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Altmaier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yosuke Watanuki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Altmaier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yosuke Watanuki - Daniel Altmaier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.75)

    1.59
    (1.44)
    4.3%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Yosuke Watanuki - Daniel Altmaier?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Altmaier will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watanuki: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yosuke Watanuki will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watanuki is ranked ATP: 159. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 56.
    • Watanuki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Altmaier is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Watanuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Altmaier could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Watanuki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    Latest results of Daniel Altmaier
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Walton A.Bonzi B.2 : 1
    3Schoolkate T. (Q)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    4ByeArnaldi M. (32)
    5Griekspoor T. (24)Bye
    6Herbert P. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    7Martin D. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    8ByeCerundolo F. (14)
    9Medvedev D. (10)Bye
    10Blockx A. (Q)Svrcina D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Arseneault N. (WC)Royer V. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByePopyrin A. (18)
    13Muller A. (29)Bye
    14Kecmanovic M.Halys Q.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki S. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    16ByeRune H. (5)
    17Musetti L. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    19Monfils G.Barrios Vera T. (Q)1 : 2
    20ByeMichelsen A. (26)
    21Shapovalov D. (22)Bye
    22Smith C. (Q)Tien L.0 : 2
    23Ofner S. (PR)Opelka R.0 : 2
    24ByeMachac T. (16)
    25Khachanov K. (11)Bye
    26Fearnley J.Ficovich J. P. (Q)0 : 2
    27Nava E. (Q)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    28ByeAtmane T. (LL)
    29Borges N. (30)Bye
    30Bagnis F. (Q)Pospisil V. (WC)2 : 1
    31Safiullin R.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Tiafoe F. (7)Bye
    34Watanuki Y. (Q)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    35Vukic A.Martinez P.2 : 0
    36ByeNorrie C. (31)
    37Tsitsipas S. (23)Bye
    38O'Connell C.Tseng C. H. (LL)2 : 0
    39Comesana F.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    40ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (13)Bye
    42Rinderknech A.Galarneau A. (WC)0 : 2
    43Marozsan F.Dellien H.2 : 0
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (25)Bye
    46Quinn E.Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    47Giron M.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeShelton B. (4)
    49Rublev A. (6)Bye
    50Bellucci M. (RET.)Gaston H.1 : 1
    51Kopriva V.Bu Y.0 : 2
    52ByeSonego L. (28)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    54Moutet C.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 0
    55Boyer T. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Fils A. (15)Bye
    58Draxl L. (WC)Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    59McDonald M.Goffin D.2 : 0
    60ByeLehecka J. (19)
    61Diallo G. (27)Bye
    62Coric B.Gigante M. (WC)1 : 2
    63Carballes Baena R.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)1 : 0
    64ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Walton A.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Arnaldi M. (32)1 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (24)Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    4Munar J.Cerundolo F. (14)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (10)Svrcina D.2 : 0
    6Arseneault N.Popyrin A. (18)0 : 2
    7Muller A. (29)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    8Mpetshi Perricard G.Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    9Musetti L. (3)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    10Barrios Vera T.Michelsen A. (26)0 : 2
    11Shapovalov D. (22)Tien L.0 : 2
    12Opelka R.Machac T. (16)2 : 1
    13Khachanov K. (11)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0
    14Nava E.Atmane T.2 : 0
    15Borges N. (30)Bagnis F.2 : 1
    16Safiullin R.Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    17Tiafoe F. (7)Watanuki Y.2 : 1
    18Vukic A.Norrie C. (31)2 : 1
    19Tsitsipas S. (23)O'Connell C.1 : 2
    20Comesana F.De Minaur A. (9)0 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (13)Galarneau A.2 : 1
    22Marozsan F.Auger-Aliassime F. (21)2 : 0
    23Nakashima B. (25)Quinn E.2 : 0
    24Mannarino A.Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    25Rublev A. (6)Gaston H.2 : 0
    26Bu Y.Sonego L. (28)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Moutet C.2 : 0
    28Boyer T.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (15)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    30McDonald M.Lehecka J. (19)0 : 2
    31Diallo G. (27)Gigante M.2 : 0
    32Carballes Baena R.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M. (32)2 : 1
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cerundolo F. (14)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (10)Popyrin A. (18)1 : 2
    4Muller A. (29)Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (3)Michelsen A. (26)1 : 2
    6Tien L.Opelka R.2 : 0
    7Khachanov K. (11)Nava E.2 : 1
    8Borges N. (30)Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (7)Vukic A.2 : 1
    10O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (WO.) (9)
    11Cobolli F. (13)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    12Nakashima B. (25)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    13Rublev A. (6)Sonego L. (28)2 : 1
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Mensik J. (12)2 : 0
    15Fils A. (15)Lehecka J. (19)1 : 2
    16Diallo G. (27)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (14)
    2Popyrin A. (18)Rune H. (5)
    3Michelsen A. (26)Tien L.
    4Khachanov K. (11)Ruud C. (8)
    5Tiafoe F. (7)De Minaur A. (9)
    6Cobolli F. (13)Shelton B. (4)
    7Rublev A. (6)Davidovich Fokina A. (20)
    8Lehecka J. (19)Fritz T. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2