Result
2:1
30/07/2025 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 48% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (42/56) | 89% (41/46) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 60% (30/50) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 13% (6/46) | 27% (15/56) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 38% (15/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 22% (2/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 45 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 0% (0/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (65/94) | 74% (70/95) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (25/95) | 31% (29/94) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (90/189) | 52% (99/189) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 94% (15/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 55% (17/31) |
Chances of winning
Francis Tiafoe
70.7% | Yosuke Watanuki
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-5%)
Francis Tiafoe - Yosuke Watanuki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.3) |
|
3.26 ↑
(3.07) |
4.9%
(9.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Francis Tiafoe - Yosuke Watanuki?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Watanuki will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 48.9% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 50%). Watanuki (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 12. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 158.
- Tiafoe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Watanuki is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Watanuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tiafoe is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Yosuke Watanuki?
Francis Tiafoe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yosuke Watanuki won against Francis Tiafoe?
Yosuke Watanuki has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Francis Tiafoe - Yosuke Watanuki were as follows:
09.03.2025
Yosuke Watanuki
-
Francis Tiafoe
2:0
25.03.2023
Yosuke Watanuki
-
Francis Tiafoe
1:2
Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Walton A. | Bonzi B. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Schoolkate T. (Q) | Fonseca J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Arnaldi M. (32) | |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Herbert P. (Q) | Etcheverry T. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Martin D. (Q) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Cerundolo F. (14) | |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (10) | Bye | |
| 10 | Blockx A. (Q) | Svrcina D. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Arseneault N. (WC) | Royer V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Popyrin A. (18) | |
| 13 | Muller A. (29) | Bye | |
| 14 | Kecmanovic M. | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Mochizuki S. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Rune H. (5) | |
| 17 | Musetti L. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Shang J. | Duckworth J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Monfils G. | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Michelsen A. (26) | |
| 21 | Shapovalov D. (22) | Bye | |
| 22 | Smith C. (Q) | Tien L. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Ofner S. (PR) | Opelka R. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Machac T. (16) | |
| 25 | Khachanov K. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Fearnley J. | Ficovich J. P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Nava E. (Q) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Atmane T. (LL) | |
| 29 | Borges N. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Bagnis F. (Q) | Pospisil V. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Safiullin R. | Blanchet U. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Ruud C. (8) | |
| 33 | Tiafoe F. (7) | Bye | |
| 34 | Watanuki Y. (Q) | Altmaier D. | 2 : 1 |
| 35 | Vukic A. | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Norrie C. (31) | |
| 37 | Tsitsipas S. (23) | Bye | |
| 38 | O'Connell C. | Tseng C. H. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Comesana F. | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | De Minaur A. (9) | |
| 41 | Cobolli F. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Rinderknech A. | Galarneau A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Marozsan F. | Dellien H. | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (21) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Quinn E. | Nishioka Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Giron M. | Mannarino A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Shelton B. (4) | |
| 49 | Rublev A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Bellucci M. (RET.) | Gaston H. | 1 : 1 |
| 51 | Kopriva V. | Bu Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Sonego L. (28) | |
| 53 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 54 | Moutet C. | Brooksby J. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Boyer T. (Q) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Mensik J. (12) | |
| 57 | Fils A. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Draxl L. (WC) | Carreno-Busta P. | 1 : 2 |
| 59 | McDonald M. | Goffin D. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Lehecka J. (19) | |
| 61 | Diallo G. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Coric B. | Gigante M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Carballes Baena R. | Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Fritz T. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schoolkate T. | Arnaldi M. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (24) | Etcheverry T. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Munar J. | Cerundolo F. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (10) | Svrcina D. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Arseneault N. | Popyrin A. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Muller A. (29) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Rune H. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (3) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Barrios Vera T. | Michelsen A. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Shapovalov D. (22) | Tien L. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Opelka R. | Machac T. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Khachanov K. (11) | Ficovich J. P. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Nava E. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Borges N. (30) | Bagnis F. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Safiullin R. | Ruud C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Tiafoe F. (7) | Watanuki Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Vukic A. | Norrie C. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Tsitsipas S. (23) | O'Connell C. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Comesana F. | De Minaur A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Cobolli F. (13) | Galarneau A. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Marozsan F. | Auger-Aliassime F. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (25) | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Mannarino A. | Shelton B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Rublev A. (6) | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Bu Y. | Sonego L. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Moutet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Boyer T. | Mensik J. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Fils A. (15) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | McDonald M. | Lehecka J. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Diallo G. (27) | Gigante M. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Carballes Baena R. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Arnaldi M. (32) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Cerundolo F. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (10) | Popyrin A. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Muller A. (29) | Rune H. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (3) | Michelsen A. (26) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Tien L. | Opelka R. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Khachanov K. (11) | Nava E. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Borges N. (30) | Ruud C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tiafoe F. (7) | Vukic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | O'Connell C. | De Minaur A. (WO.) (9) | |
| 11 | Cobolli F. (13) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (25) | Shelton B. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Rublev A. (6) | Sonego L. (28) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Mensik J. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Fils A. (15) | Lehecka J. (19) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. (27) | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Cerundolo F. (14) | |
| 2 | Popyrin A. (18) | Rune H. (5) | |
| 3 | Michelsen A. (26) | Tien L. | |
| 4 | Khachanov K. (11) | Ruud C. (8) | |
| 5 | Tiafoe F. (7) | De Minaur A. (9) | |
| 6 | Cobolli F. (13) | Shelton B. (4) | |
| 7 | Rublev A. (6) | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | |
| 8 | Lehecka J. (19) | Fritz T. (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
