Yosuke Watanuki vs Ilia Simakin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Guangzhou Challenger Men Yosuke Watanuki - Ilia Simakin
Result
0:2
29/04/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
108
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
42%51%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (29/35)81% (34/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (24/49)49% (20/41)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
19% (8/42)17% (6/35)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (21/41)51% (25/49)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
63% (53/84)65% (54/83)
Return Points Won
35% (29/83)37% (31/84)
Total Points Won
49% (82/167)51% (85/167)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Yosuke Watanuki
62.4%
Ilia Simakin
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Yosuke Watanuki - Ilia Simakin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.57)

    2.48
    (2.26)
    7%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Yosuke Watanuki - Ilia Simakin?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Simakin will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Simakin: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Simakin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watanuki is ranked ATP: 213. Simakin is ranked ATP: 271.
    • Right away both players are in a satisfying form.
    • Watanuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Watanuki will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Walton A. (1)Ilagan A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Sun F. (Alt)Kachmazov A.0 : 2
    3Jasika O.Langmo C. (Q)2 : 0
    4Samrej K. (LL)McCabe J. (7)1 : 2
    5Schoolkate T. (3)Peniston R. (Q)2 : 1
    6Bolt A.Shimabukuro S.1 : 2
    7Bouzige M. (Q)Roh H.2 : 0
    8Chen C. (WC)Grenier H. (6)0 : 2
    9Tu L. (5)Watanuki Y.1 : 2
    10Mo Y. C. (Q)Simakin I. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Rosenkranz M. (Q)Sharipov M.1 : 2
    12Te R. (WC)Atmane T. (4)1 : 2
    13Lestienne C. (8)Hsu Y. H.0 : 2
    14Escoffier A.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    15Zhou Y. (WC)Cui J. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Noguchi R.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Walton A. (1)Kachmazov A.1 : 2
    2Jasika O.McCabe J. (7)1 : 2
    3Schoolkate T. (3)Shimabukuro S. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Bouzige M.Grenier H. (6)0 : 2
    5Watanuki Y.Simakin I.0 : 2
    6Sharipov M.Atmane T. (4)0 : 2
    7Hsu Y. H.Escoffier A.2 : 1
    8Cui J.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kachmazov A.McCabe J. (7)2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T. (3)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    3Simakin I.Atmane T. (4)1 : 2
    4Hsu Y. H.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kachmazov A.Schoolkate T. (3)1 : 2
    2Atmane T. (4)Holt B. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Schoolkate T. (3)Atmane T. (4)0 : 2