Result
3:0
21/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 19
- Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (412/466) | 80% (268/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (412/466) | 80% (268/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (41/64) | 44% (21/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (50/68) | 70% (68/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 2.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Behrens K. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Steffen R. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
- 19', Grgic A. 🟨,
- 20', Wuthrich G. 🟨,
- 44', Lauper S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bislimi U. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 46', Lauper S. ↓, Zoukrou T. ↑,
- 46', Virginius A. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
- 60', Janko S. 🟥,
- 66', 3 - 0, Koutsias G. ⚽, Marques M. (A),
- 69', Steffen R. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
- 69', Bedia C. ↓, Males D. ↑,
- 69', Sanches A. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
- 75', Mambwa O. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
- 76', Koutsias G. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 76', Doumbia O. ↓, Kendouci A. ↑,
- 78', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
- 85', Cimignani Y. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
- 86', Kelvin D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano
45.2% | Draw
25.8% | Young Boys
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Lugano - Young Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.13) |
3.63 ↓
(3.68) |
3.22 ↑
(3.15) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lugano - Young Boys?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Young Boys will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Young Boys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Foot Injury)
Belhadj M.
(International duty)
Bottani M.
(Health problems)
Mai L.
(Yellow Cards)
von Ballmoos D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Young Boys: Colley E.
(Ankle Injury)
Conte F.
(Knee Injury)
Fernandes E.
(Muscle Injury)
Hadjam J.
(International duty)
Monteiro J.
(Inactive)
Raveloson R.
(Red Card)
Seiler M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Mai L.
(Injury)
Marques M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Young Boys?
Lugano has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Young Boys won against Lugano?
Young Boys has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Young Boys were as follows:
31.08.2025
Young Boys
-
Lugano
3:1
24.05.2025
Lugano
-
Young Boys
1:1
23.02.2025
Young Boys
-
Lugano
1:0
10.11.2024
Young Boys
-
Lugano
2:1
27.10.2024
Lugano
-
Young Boys
2:0
Latest results of Young Boys
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 27 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 64 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Lugano | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Basel | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Sion | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 55:52 | 3 | 39 |
| 7 | Luzern | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 53:51 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 39:53 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 44:51 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 30:77 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
