Result
3:1
31/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 5
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (307/366) | 85% (357/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (307/366) | 85% (357/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (23/43) | 52% (34/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (83/113) | 63% (62/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 3.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Doumbia O. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Bedia C. (Pen),
- 12', 1 - 1, Marques M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 1, Fassnacht C. ⚽, Mambwa O. (A),
- 58', Dos Santos D. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
- 58', Duville-Parsemain A. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
- 61', Virginius A. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
- 61', Mambwa O. ↓, Hadjam J. ↑,
- 70', Belhadj M. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
- 70', Marques M. ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
- 76', Fassnacht C. ↓, Colley E. ↑,
- 76', Raveloson R. ↓, Lauper S. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Bedia C. ⚽,
- 84', Steffen R. ↓, Behrens K. ↑,
- 85', Monteiro J. ↓, Tsimba F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Young Boys
46.6% | Draw
26.7% | Lugano
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Young Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Young Boys - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.84) |
3.5 ↓
(3.99) |
3.54 ↓
(3.71) |
5.8%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Young Boys - Lugano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Young Boys (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Young Boys will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Young Boys will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Young Boys: Conte F.
(Knee Injury)
Seiler M.
(Injury)
Smith R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lugano: Kendouci A.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Young Boys: Males D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Mai L.
(Injury)
Zanotti M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Young Boys won against Lugano?
Young Boys has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Young Boys?
Lugano has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Young Boys - Lugano were as follows:
24.05.2025
Lugano
-
Young Boys
1:1
23.02.2025
Young Boys
-
Lugano
1:0
10.11.2024
Young Boys
-
Lugano
2:1
27.10.2024
Lugano
-
Young Boys
2:0
11.05.2024
Young Boys
-
Lugano
0:1
Latest results of Young Boys
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Basel | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Sion | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Luzern | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Lugano | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Zurich | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Servette | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10:28 | -18 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
