Lugano vs Young Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Super League Lugano - Young Boys
Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Championship Group - Round 38
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, SRF 2, SRF 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.56
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
82% (372/452)76% (236/311)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.74
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1314
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
176
Passes
82% (372/452)76% (236/311)
Long passes
64% (41/64)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
71% (70/98)59% (61/104)
Crosses
36% (5/14)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.89
Throw-ins
3217
Fouls
617
Tackles
42% (5/12)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5033
Clearances
3823
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.741.38
Goals prevented
-0.260.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Itten C. , Tsimba F. ,
  • 46', Males D. , Bedia C. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Koutsias G. , Papadopoulos A. (A),
  • 62', Lakomy L. , Ugrinic F. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Hadjam J. ,
  • 66', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
  • 72', Dos Santos D. , Macek R. ,
  • 72', Aliseda I. , Mahou H. ,
  • 78', Athekame Z. , Blum L. ,
  • 82', Koutsias G. , Vladi S. ,
  • 82', Zanotti M. , Steffen R. ,
  • 90+1', Bislimi U. , Doumbia O. ,

Chances of winning


Lugano
38.7%
Draw
24.3%
Young Boys
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 24.1% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 23.7% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • The chances for Young Boys have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Lugano - Young Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.38)
    3.87
    (3.85)
    2.53
    (2.5)
    6.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - Young Boys?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Young Boys will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Young Boys (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
    • Lugano is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Young Boys's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Lugano has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Lugano: Belhadj M. (Knee Injury) Mai L. (Inactive) Marques M. (Yellow Cards) Steffen R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Young Boys: Colley E. (Yellow Cards) Conte F. (Knee Injury) Seiler M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Young Boys: Monteiro J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:41. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Young Boys were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Young Boys - Lugano 1:0
    10.11.2024 Young Boys - Lugano 2:1
    27.10.2024 Lugano - Young Boys 2:0
    11.05.2024 Young Boys - Lugano 0:1
    10.02.2024 Lugano - Young Boys 3:3
    Latest results of Lugano
    18.05.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 1:1
    15.05.2025 Servette - Lugano 4:1
    10.05.2025 Lugano - Basel 2:5
    04.05.2025 Luzern - Lugano 0:2
    21.04.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 2:0
    Latest results of Young Boys
    18.05.2025 Young Boys - Basel 6:2
    15.05.2025 Young Boys - Luzern 2:1
    11.05.2025 Servette - Young Boys 0:0
    26.04.2025 Biel-Bienne - Young Boys 1:0
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Gallen22006:246
    2Young Boys21104:224
    3Lausanne11003:213
    4Luzern11003:213
    5Sion11003:213
    6Thun11002:113
    7Basel21013:303
    8Winterthur20113:4-11
    9Zurich10012:3-10
    10Lugano10011:2-10
    11Grasshoppers20023:5-20
    12Servette20022:7-50

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )