Young Boys vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 31
  • Referee: San F. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
ukraineUkraineSport 2
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.742.07
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
84
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
64
Passes
87% (444/508)82% (363/441)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.742.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.47
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
1010
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3021
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
168
Passes
87% (444/508)82% (363/441)
Long passes
51% (26/51)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
73% (103/141)72% (73/102)
Crosses
20% (4/20)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.76
Throw ins
1810
Fouls
816
Tackles
100% (5/5)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4235
Clearances
2018
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
37
xGOT faced
1.471.12
Goals prevented
0.470.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Sanches A. , Virginius A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
  • 60', Pihlstrom E. , Mahou H. ,
  • 61', Marques M. , Koutsias G. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Grgic A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 65', Males D. , Fassnacht C. ,
  • 66', Bedia C. , Essende S. ,
  • 73', Virginius A. , Colley E. ,
  • 73', Valery Y. , Janko S. ,
  • 81', von Ballmoos D. 🟨,
  • 82', Lauper S. 🟨,
  • 84', Steffen R. , Bottani M. ,
  • 84', Grgic A. 🟨,
  • 86', Gigovic A. , Pech D. ,
  • 89', Cimignani Y. , Brault-Guillard Z. ,

Chances of winning


Young Boys
50.4%
Draw
24.5%
Lugano
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 25% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 24.6% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Young Boys - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.94)
    3.81
    (3.75)
    3.72
    (3.5)
    6.5%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Young Boys - Lugano?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Young Boys (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Young Boys will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Young Boys is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Young Boys - Lugano were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Lugano - Young Boys 3:0
    31.08.2025 Young Boys - Lugano 3:1
    24.05.2025 Lugano - Young Boys 1:1
    23.02.2025 Young Boys - Lugano 1:0
    10.11.2024 Young Boys - Lugano 2:1
    Latest results of Young Boys
    08.03.2026 Young Boys - Thun 1:2
    04.03.2026 Luzern - Young Boys 1:2
    01.03.2026 Young Boys - Zürich 3:0
    22.02.2026 Sion - Young Boys 3:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    17.03.2026 St. Gallen - Lugano 1:1
    07.03.2026 Lugano - Luzern 1:3
    04.03.2026 Lugano - Sion 2:1
    01.03.2026 Grasshoppers - Lugano 1:0
    22.02.2026 Lugano - Lausanne-Sport 2:1
    Swiss Super League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun ✔ 32232772:363671
    2St. Gallen ✔ 33179764:402460
    3Lugano ✔ 33169850:381257
    4Basel ✔ 32158950:42853
    5Sion ✔ 331313751:351652
    6Young Boys ✔ 331391165:60548
    7Luzern ✔ 3310101364:61340
    8Servette ✔ 339131157:57040
    9Lausanne ✔ 331091447:57-1039
    10Zurich ✔ 331041945:63-1834
    11Grasshoppers ✔ 33691840:65-2527
    12Winterthur ✔ 33472235:86-5119

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )