Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 31
- Referee: San F. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (444/508) | 82% (363/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (444/508) | 82% (363/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (103/141) | 72% (73/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Sanches A. ⚽, Virginius A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
- 60', Pihlstrom E. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 61', Marques M. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Grgic A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', Males D. ↓, Fassnacht C. ↑,
- 66', Bedia C. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
- 73', Virginius A. ↓, Colley E. ↑,
- 73', Valery Y. ↓, Janko S. ↑,
- 81', von Ballmoos D. 🟨,
- 82', Lauper S. 🟨,
- 84', Steffen R. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
- 84', Grgic A. 🟨,
- 86', Gigovic A. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
- 89', Cimignani Y. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Young Boys
50.4% | Draw
24.5% | Lugano
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Young Boys - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.94) |
3.81 ↑
(3.75) |
3.72 ↑
(3.5) |
6.5%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Young Boys - Lugano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Young Boys (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Young Boys will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Young Boys is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Young Boys won against Lugano?
Young Boys has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Young Boys?
Lugano has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Young Boys - Lugano were as follows:
21.12.2025
Lugano
-
Young Boys
3:0
31.08.2025
Young Boys
-
Lugano
3:1
24.05.2025
Lugano
-
Young Boys
1:1
23.02.2025
Young Boys
-
Lugano
1:0
10.11.2024
Young Boys
-
Lugano
2:1
Latest results of Young Boys
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 72:35 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Basel ✔ | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
| 4 | Lugano ✔ | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 48:38 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Sion ✔ | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Young Boys ✔ | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 61:56 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Luzern ✔ | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 62:56 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Servette ✔ | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 53:56 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Lausanne ✔ | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 45:53 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 34 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 34:82 | -48 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
