Young Boys vs Thun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 7
  • Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.82
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
74% (245/333)70% (201/288)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.710.78
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
511
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
74% (245/333)70% (201/288)
Long passes
44% (36/82)57% (39/68)
Passes in final third
57% (55/96)56% (71/127)
Crosses
50% (3/6)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.74
Throw-ins
2029
Fouls
1114
Tackles
82% (9/11)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
3722
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.782.71
Goals prevented
-1.22-1.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Mambwa O. 🟨,
  • 12', Dahler L. 🟨,
  • 30', Fernandes E. 🟨,
  • 30', Matoshi V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 46', Virginius A. , Monteiro J. ,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Ibayi C. , Reichmuth N. (A),
  • 60', Mambwa O. , Hadjam J. ,
  • 60', Gigovic A. , Bedia C. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Cordova S. , Fassnacht C. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 1, Bedia C. , Cordova S. (A),
  • 68', Ibayi C. , Labeau B. ,
  • 68', Matoshi V. , Imeri K. ,
  • 68', Reichmuth N. , Meichtry F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Meichtry F. ,
  • 75', Dahler L. , Fehr F. ,
  • 80', 3 - 2, Bedia C. , Cordova S. (A),
  • 85', Raveloson R. , Lauper S. ,
  • 86', Rastoder E. , Gutbub M. ,
  • 89', Heule M. 🟨,
  • 90', 4 - 2, Fassnacht C. , Fernandes E. (A),
  • 90+3', Cordova S. , Males D. ,
  • 90+3', Janko S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Young Boys
52%
Draw
23.1%
Thun
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 21.7% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 20.9% 20.1%

Young Boys - Thun Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.83
(1.66)
4.04
(4.38)
3.75
(4.55)
6%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Young Boys - Thun?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Young Boys will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Thun will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Young Boys: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 5.
    • Young Boys is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Thun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Young Boys is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Young Boys: Conte F. (Knee Injury) Sanches A. (Knee Injury) Seiler M. (Injury) Wuthrich G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Thun: Eicher J. (Injury) Montolio G. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Young Boys: Virginius A. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Young Boys will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:25. (average 2.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:14. (average 3.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Young Boys - Thun were as follows:
    15.07.2023 Young Boys - Thun 4:0
    28.02.2023 Thun - Young Boys 0:5
    14.01.2023 Young Boys - Thun 2:0
    Latest results of Young Boys
    25.09.2025 Young Boys - Panathinaikos 1:4
    14.09.2025 Luzern - Young Boys 1:2
    31.08.2025 Young Boys - Lugano 3:1
    Latest results of Thun
    13.09.2025 Thun - Basel 1:3
    30.08.2025 Thun - Grasshoppers 1:1
    23.08.2025 Zürich - Thun 0:4
    17.08.2025 Breitenrain Bern - Thun 1:0
    09.08.2025 Luzern - Thun 1:2
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun14101326:151131
    2St. Gallen1490530:181227
    3Young Boys1474330:23725
    4Basel1472523:17623
    5Lugano1572620:21-123
    6Sion1556423:20321
    7Zurich1562722:27-520
    8Luzern1546529:27218
    9Lausanne1444625:22316
    10Servette1443722:27-515
    11Grasshoppers1535719:29-1014
    12Winterthur15231019:42-239

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