Young Boys vs Thun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
08/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.593.36
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1518
Shots on target
66
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
37
Passes
75% (264/352)71% (227/319)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
1.593.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.243.91
Total shots
1518
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
38
Shots inside the box
912
Shots outside the box
66
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2825
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1716
Passes
75% (264/352)71% (227/319)
Long passes
45% (34/75)44% (34/78)
Passes in final third
65% (64/99)57% (85/150)
Crosses
19% (3/16)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.801.19
Throw ins
1916
Fouls
1617
Tackles
56% (9/16)61% (14/23)
Duels won
7162
Clearances
2827
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
3.912.24
Goals prevented
1.911.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Sanches A. ,
  • 10', Burki M. 🟨,
  • 28', Fernandes E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Imeri K. , Matoshi V. ,
  • 49', Bertone L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 50', 1 - 1, Matoshi V. , Meichtry F. (A),
  • 64', Roth J. 🟨,
  • 68', Meichtry F. , Reichmuth N. ,
  • 68', Rastoder E. , Ibayi C. ,
  • 73', Labeau B. , Dursun F. ,
  • 74', Lauper S. 🟨,
  • 74', Monteiro J. , Males D. ,
  • 74', Sanches A. , Virginius A. ,
  • 79', Benito L. , Bukinac S. ,
  • 79', Essende S. , Bedia C. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Reichmuth N. , Heule M. (A),
  • 84', Fassnacht C. 🟨,
  • 84', Valery Y. , Pech D. ,
  • 85', Roth J. , Rupp N. ,
  • 88', Heule M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Males D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Young Boys
42.8%
Draw
24.3%
Thun
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 24.3% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 24.8% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Young Boys's performance.
  • Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Young Boys - Thun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.46)
    3.86
    (3.8)
    2.85
    (2.43)
    6.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Young Boys - Thun?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Young Boys will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Thun will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Young Boys: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Young Boys (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 4.
    • Young Boys has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Thun is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Thun has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Young Boys: Andrews R. (Muscle Injury) Conte F. (Knee Injury) Hadjam J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Thun: Bamert J. (Yellow Cards) Ziswiler N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 53:28. (average 2.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:15. (average 3.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Young Boys - Thun were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Thun - Young Boys 4:1
    28.09.2025 Young Boys - Thun 4:2
    15.07.2023 Young Boys - Thun 4:0
    28.02.2023 Thun - Young Boys 0:5
    14.01.2023 Young Boys - Thun 2:0
    Latest results of Young Boys
    04.03.2026 Luzern - Young Boys 1:2
    01.03.2026 Young Boys - Zürich 3:0
    22.02.2026 Sion - Young Boys 3:1
    14.02.2026 Young Boys - Winterthur 6:1
    11.02.2026 St. Gallen - Young Boys 2:1
    Latest results of Thun
    05.03.2026 Thun - St. Gallen 2:2
    28.02.2026 Thun - Luzern 2:1
    25.02.2026 Winterthur - Thun 0:3
    15.02.2026 Thun - Sion 1:0
    12.02.2026 Thun - Lausanne-Sport 5:1
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun ✔ 31232672:353771
    2St. Gallen ✔ 31168760:372356
    3Basel ✔ 31157947:39852
    4Lugano ✔ 31149848:381051
    5Sion ✔ 311113744:35946
    6Young Boys ✔ 311371161:56546
    7Luzern ✔ 311091262:56639
    8Servette ✔ 318121153:56-336
    9Lausanne ✔ 31991345:53-836
    10Zurich ✔ 311041744:60-1634
    11Grasshoppers ✔ 31591738:61-2324
    12Winterthur ✔ 31472034:82-4819

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Sion is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Lausanne is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )