Result
0:3
17/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (419/477) | 70% (143/205) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (419/477) | 70% (143/205) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (27/46) | 30% (18/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (131/169) | 39% (17/44) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (13/43) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.25 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Zhang Chenliang 🟨,
- 33', Yang Fan 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Quiles A. ⚽, Wang Zhenghao (A),
- 45+5', Wang Zhenghao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ji Shengpan ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
- 46', Wang Zhenghao ↓, Ba Dun ↑,
- 52', 0 - 2, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Quiles A. (A),
- 61', Zhang Yufeng ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
- 62', Huang Zichang 🟨,
- 70', Zhang Chenliang 🟨,
- 77', Wang Qiuming ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Quiles A. ⚽, Guilherme Schettine (A),
- 83', Quiles A. ↓, Liu J. ↑,
- 85', Xie Weijun 🟨,
- 86', Ionita II A. ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
- 86', Xu Xin ↓, Shi Ke ↑,
- 86', Huang Zichang ↓, Yang Zihao ↑,
- 88', Xadas ↓, Li Yongjia ↑,
Chances of winning
Yunnan Yukun
64.2% | Draw
20.3% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+4%)
Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.66) |
4.58 ↑
(3.96) |
6.07 ↑
(4.65) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Recent performances by Yunnan Yukun have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Yunnan Yukun is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit
(Knee Injury)
Yi Teng
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Cordoba A.
(Injury)
Huang Jiahui
(Red Card)
Yan Bingliang
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Shi Yan
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Yunnan Yukun has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Yunnan Yukun?
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
18.10.2025
Yunnan Yukun
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:0
11.05.2025
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Yunnan Yukun
0:1
21.06.2024
Yunnan Yukun
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:2
Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26:9 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Qingdao West Coast | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 | Liaoning Tieren | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | -1 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One
