Yuta Kikuchi vs Dominik Palan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
210
1st Serve Percentage
54%49%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (24/34)58% (22/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (16/29)45% (18/40)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)73% (11/15)
1st Return Points Won
45% (17/38)29% (10/34)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (22/40)45% (13/29)
Break Points Converted
27% (4/15)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
63% (39/62)51% (40/78)
Return Points Won
49% (38/78)37% (23/62)
Total Points Won
55% (77/140)45% (63/140)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Yuta Kikuchi
45.7%
Dominik Palan
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 63.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yuta Kikuchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuta Kikuchi's performance.
  • Dominik Palan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominik Palan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Kikuchi than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuta Kikuchi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Palan than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominik Palan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yuta Kikuchi - Dominik Palan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.29)

    1.72
    (1.52)
    7%
    (9.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kikuchi is ranked ATP: 614. Palan is ranked ATP: 493.
    • Recent form of Kikuchi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Palan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Palan could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Yuta Kikuchi
    Latest results of Dominik Palan
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nishioka Y. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 0
    2Fomin S. (LL)Tokuda R.0 : 2
    3Ferreira Silva F.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    4Simakin I.Shimabukuro S. (RET.) (8)1 : 0
    5Rocha H. (3)Ajdukovic D. (Alt)1 : 2
    6Cui J. (RET.)Takahashi Y. (Q)1 : 1
    7Huang T. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    8Harris L.Kubler J. (RET.) (6)1 : 0
    9Mayot H. (5)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1
    10Mo Y. C. (WC)Honda N. (JR)0 : 2
    11Kumasaka T. (Q)Jasika O.2 : 0
    12Sun F.Shimizu Y. (9)1 : 2
    13McCabe J. (7)Jung J. (PR)2 : 1
    14Sultanov K. (Q)Wu Tung-Lin (Q)0 : 2
    15Wang A. (WC)Te R. (WC)2 : 1
    16Hsu Y. H.Wong C. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Nishioka Y. (1)Tokuda R.2 : 0
    2Ferreira Silva F.Simakin I.2 : 0
    3Ajdukovic D.Takahashi Y.2 : 0
    4Huang T.Harris L.1 : 2
    5Mayot H. (5)Honda N. (RET.)1 : 0
    6Kumasaka T.Shimizu Y. (9)1 : 2
    7McCabe J. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1
    8Wang A.Hsu Y. H.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Nishioka Y. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    2Ajdukovic D.Harris L.2 : 1
    3Mayot H. (5)Shimizu Y. (9)2 : 0
    4McCabe J. (7)Hsu Y. H.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Nishioka Y. (1)Ajdukovic D.2 : 0
    2Mayot H. (5)Hsu Y. H.2 : 0

    Final
    1Nishioka Y. (1)Mayot H. (5)2 : 0