Result
2:1
12/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 7
- Referee: Schmolzer M. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (321/390) | 87% (500/577) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (321/390) | 87% (500/577) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 72% (46/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (71/104) | 77% (117/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Philippin R. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Marchesano A. ⚽,
- 16', Pasche E. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Rufli V. ⚽, Sene O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Weber P. ↓, Busset R. ↑,
- 59', Maouche Y. ↓, Ricardo Alves ↑,
- 62', Rodrigues M. ↓, Ntelo M. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Ricardo Alves ⚽,
- 72', Le Pogam W. 🟨,
- 76', Escorza T. ↓, Sestito L. ↑,
- 77', Camara S. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
- 77', Sorgic D. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
- 82', Rufli V. ↓, Boulkous N. ↑,
- 83', Essiena Avang L. ↓, Felder V. ↑,
- 89', Marchesano A. ↓, Golliard R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
32.1% | Draw
31.2% | Yverdon
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Étoile Carouge's performance.Yverdon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yverdon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Étoile Carouge that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yverdon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Étoile Carouge - Yverdon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(3.51) |
3.73 ↑
(3.7) |
3.17 ↑
(1.95) |
-14.1%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Yverdon?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Yverdon will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yverdon: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 3).
- Étoile is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Yverdon is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Yverdon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Étoile: Caslei B.
(Inactive)
Harrington F.
(Inactive)
Hysenaj F.
(Injury)
Traore B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Yverdon: Busset R.
(Injury)
Pos L.
(Yellow Cards)
Tasar V.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Yverdon?
Étoile Carouge has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yverdon won against Étoile Carouge?
Yverdon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Yverdon were as follows:
19.07.2025
Yverdon
-
Étoile Carouge
FRO
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Latest results of Yverdon
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 14 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Xamax | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Wil | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
