Paola Hibernians vs Żabbar St. Patrick – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 20
  • Referee: De Gabriele M. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
46
Yellow cards
02
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
66
Corner kicks
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Halabaku K. , Caruana L. ,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Cleiton ,
  • 29', Jovancic S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Miullen , Alfred S. ,
  • 46', Scicluna R. , Figueiredo B. ,
  • 48', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Lima M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 67', Majok A. , Agius N. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Cejas P. ,
  • 71', Cleiton , Akinbule S. ,
  • 79', Lima M. , Bonnici D. ,
  • 79', Norenkov D. , Debattista M. ,
  • 83', Mayron , Im Y. W. ,

Chances of winning


Paola Hibernians
43.8%
Draw
28%
Żabbar St. Patrick
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 27.7% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paola Hibernians's performance.
  • Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żabbar St. Patrick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paola Hibernians that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żabbar St. Patrick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.72)
    3.24
    (3.2)
    3.23
    (2.3)
    10.1%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hibernians (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Hibernians (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hibernians (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Żabbar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:12. (average 1.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hibernians won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick were as follows:
    18.12.2025 Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick 3:3
    24.08.2025 Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians 2:2
    01.05.2025 Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians 2:2
    15.02.2025 Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick 0:4
    28.09.2024 Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians 1:2
    Latest results of Paola Hibernians
    Latest results of Żabbar St. Patrick
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana862016:41220
    2Hamrun853011:11018
    3Marsaxlokk84228:9-114
    4Gzira841311:9213
    5Naxxar841317:16113
    6Valletta833211:4712
    7Sliema83327:8-112
    8Birkirkara832310:7311
    9Hibernians83149:13-410
    10Zabbar81256:10-45
    11Tarxien81166:16-104
    12Mosta80171:16-151

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