Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Pienkowski M. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Ząbkovia Ząbki
65.3%
Draw
19.5%
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 19.9% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 18.9% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ząbkovia Ząbki's performance.
  • Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.51)
    4.77
    (4.5)
    6.1
    (4.33)
    7.6%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 8).
    • Ząbkovia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tomaszów Mazowiecki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tomaszów Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ząbkovia is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Ząbkovia will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ząbkovia Ząbki
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Legia II24193265:214460
    2Warta Sieradz25174448:232555
    3LKS Lomza25164558:243452
    4Suwalki25144747:351246
    5Troszyn25125862:372541
    6Plock II24125740:37341
    7Zabki251221159:471238
    8T. Mazowiecki251051051:401135
    9Olimpia Elblag25961036:45-933
    10Jagiellonia II24951030:31-132
    11Bron Radom25871031:45-1431
    12Swit Mazowiecki25941235:44-931
    13Widzew Lodz II24931247:54-730
    14GKS Belchatow25851241:52-1129
    15Wikielec24751226:37-1126
    16Mlawa25671239:49-1025
    17Wasilkow25421926:59-3314
    18Biala Piska24222018:79-618

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation