Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs GKS Jastrzębie – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 2 Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
172
Shots on target
110
Corner Kicks
141
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
12
Total shots
172
Shots on target
110
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
141

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Maszkowski S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bykowski M. , Jakuc O. ,
  • 46', Mroczko S. , Kriegler B. ,
  • 59', Gosciniarek K. 🟨,
  • 60', Tomal J. , Zielinski B. ,
  • 62', Dziedzic I. , Agbor E. ,
  • 62', Koczy K. 🟨,
  • 64', Agbor E. 🟥,
  • 71', Gosciniarek K. 🟨,
  • 76', Koczy K. 🟨,
  • 77', Gogol P. , Pawlusinski M. ,
  • 78', Maszkowski S. , Kakolewski I. ,
  • 83', Matysek S. , Sawicki W. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 0, Skora K. ,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Sosnowiec
67.4%
Draw
19.8%
GKS Jastrzębie
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.2% 16.9% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7% 15.7% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.3)
    4.65
    (5.4)
    7.19
    (7.1)
    8.5%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3.
    • Zagłębie Sosnowiec is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • GKS Jastrzębie has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Zagłębie Sosnowiec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Zagłębie Sosnowiec is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie were as follows:
    27.04.2025 GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec 1:0
    28.09.2024 Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie 1:0
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ol. Grudziadz1383228:171127
    2Skierniewice1381426:151125
    3Warta Poznan1374222:16625
    4Podhale Nowy Targ1357115:11422
    5R. Rzeszow1356220:14621
    6Sandecja Nowy S1254321:18319
    7Zaglebie Sosnowiec1153317:17018
    8Swit Szczecin1353522:23-118
    9Bielsko-Biala1353518:19-118
    10Podbeskidzie1252518:19-117
    11S. Wola1244424:21316
    12KKS Kalisz1344513:15-216
    13Kleczew1343624:24015
    14Hutnik Krakow1243521:21015
    15Slask Wroclaw II1233618:21-312
    16Chojniczanka1225518:25-711
    17LKS Lodz II1315711:22-118
    18GKS Jastrzebie1303108:26-183

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation