Fenerbahçe vs Žalgiris Kaunas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/04/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euroleague - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Bissuel T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
europeEuropeGo3 Baltic Euroleague
franceFranceSKWeek App
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
israelIsraelSport 5
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
worldWorldEuroLeague TV

Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
66.7%
Žalgiris Kaunas
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Žalgiris Kaunas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.39)

    2.87
    (3.18)
    4.8%
    (3.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 162.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:78.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • Fenerbahçe is Qualified for Euroleague (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 2.
    • Fenerbahçe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Žalgiris is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1566:1527. (average 78.3:76.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 890:795. (average 80.9:72.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas were as follows:
    27.03.2026 Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas 82:92
    03.10.2025 Žalgiris Kaunas - Fenerbahçe 84:81
    17.01.2025 Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas 98:86
    15.11.2024 Žalgiris Kaunas - Fenerbahçe 65:70
    19.01.2024 Žalgiris Kaunas - Fenerbahçe 98:75
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    24.04.2026 Manisa - Fenerbahçe 78:82
    19.04.2026 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 93:90
    16.04.2026 ASVEL Basket - Fenerbahçe 76:81
    09.04.2026 Fenerbahçe - Real Madrid 69:74
    Latest results of Žalgiris Kaunas
    25.04.2026 Šiauliai - Žalgiris Kaunas 78:91
    22.04.2026 Žalgiris Kaunas - Gargždai 85:77
    19.04.2026 Rytas - Žalgiris Kaunas 70:75
    17.04.2026 Žalgiris Kaunas - Paris 85:79
    14.04.2026 Jonava - Žalgiris Kaunas 84:101
    Draw
    Play-in

    Semi-finals
    1Panathinaikos (7)Monaco (8)87 : 79
    4Barcelona (9)Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet (10)80 : 72

    Final
    1Panathinaikos (7)Bye
    2Monaco (8)Barcelona (9)79 : 70