Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (365/448) | 72% (197/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (365/448) | 72% (197/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (129/187) | 46% (31/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Abdelmaguid H. (Pen),
- 37', Dabbagh O. ↓, Mansy N. ↑,
- 38', Dunga N. 🟨,
- 44', El Said A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Mansy N. 🟨,
- 61', Ibrahim Y. 🟨,
- 69', Mohamed T. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, El Shahat H. ⚽, Sherif M. (A),
- 77', Kaied A. ↓, Maali A. ↑,
- 77', Maher N. ↓, Nasser A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Trezeguet (Pen),
- 79', Trezeguet 🟨,
- 84', Dunga N. ↓, Sherif A. ↑,
- 85', Bentayg M. ↓, Fatouh A. ↑,
- 85', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, Dieng A. ↑,
- 85', Sherif M. ↓, Abdelkader A. ↑,
- 90+5', Trezeguet ↓, Kamal O. ↑,
- 90+6', Bencharki A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo
44% | Draw
31.7% | Zamalek
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.02) |
2.95 ↓
(3.03) |
3.85 ↓
(3.99) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Zamalek will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 2.
- Al Ahly has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zamalek is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al Ahly is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Zamalek?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zamalek won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Zamalek has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek were as follows:
11.03.2025
Zamalek
-
Al Ahly Cairo
Zamalek awarded
22.02.2025
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Zamalek
1:1
24.10.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Zamalek
1:0
27.09.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Zamalek
1:2
25.06.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Zamalek
Al Ahly awarded
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Latest results of Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Ahly | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Enppi | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Wadi Degla | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | ZED | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Modern Sport | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Smouha | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 12 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | El Gouna | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Haras El Hodood | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | El Ismaily | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5:14 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Pharco | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 21 | Arab Contractors | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
