Result
0:2
18/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Omar A. M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.40 | 1.72 |
Ball Possession |
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37% | 63% |
Total shots |
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6 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Passes |
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77% (220/284) | 87% (438/501) |
Yellow Cards |
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6 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.40 | 1.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.00 | 1.82 |
Total shots |
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6 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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2 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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6 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 14 |
Passes |
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77% (220/284) | 87% (438/501) |
Long passes |
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35% (16/46) | 62% (24/39) |
Passes in final third |
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47% (28/59) | 71% (72/101) |
Crosses |
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11% (1/9) | 50% (2/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.35 | 0.75 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 14 |
Fouls |
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14 | 14 |
Tackles |
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88% (15/17) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
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35 | 40 |
Clearances |
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11 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.82 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.18 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Ehab M. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, El Said A. (Pen),
- 24', Bentayg M. 🟨,
- 39', El Nagaawy I. 🟨,
- 45', Gaber O. ↓, Moussaddaq S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Abdelaal I. ↓, El Kot O. ↑,
- 46', Ehab M. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
- 49', Dunga N. 🟨,
- 53', Samir M. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 2, Dabbagh O. ⚽,
- 59', Traore E. 🟨,
- 62', Al Nabris K. ↓, Abdelsalam A. ↑,
- 62', Traore E. ↓, Khatary M. ↑,
- 66', Maher N. ↓, Hamdi A. ↑,
- 66', Bentayg M. ↓, Maali A. ↑,
- 66', Dunga N. ↓, Fatouh A. ↑,
- 81', Farag N. 🟨,
- 83', Dabbagh O. ↓, Mansy N. ↑,
- 88', Abdelsalam A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Abdelmaguid H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ismaily 7.8% | Draw 17.1% | Zamalek 75.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ismaily's form might have worsened.Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zamalek's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zamalek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ismaily - Zamalek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
12.56 ↑ (7.08) |
5.72 ↑ (3.68) |
1.3 ↓ (1.49) |
2.2% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ismaily - Zamalek?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamalek: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 1.
- Ismaily is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zamalek is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Zamalek is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:33. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against Zamalek?
Ismaily has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zamalek won against Ismaily?
Zamalek has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ismaily - Zamalek were as follows:
07.02.2025
Zamalek
-
Ismaily
2:0
07.07.2024
Zamalek
-
Ismaily
2:1
19.02.2024
Ismaily
-
Zamalek
0:0
13.05.2023
Ismaily
-
Zamalek
2:1
29.12.2022
Zamalek
-
Ismaily
3:1
Latest results of Ismaily
Latest results of Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Masry | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
2 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Al Ahly | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Enppi | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Wadi Degla | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
8 | Smouha | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
10 | El Gouna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
11 | ZED | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Modern Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
13 | National Bank Egypt | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
15 | Haras El Hodood | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
16 | El Gaish | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Pharco | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
20 | Arab Contractors | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
21 | El Ismaily | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2:13 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )