Result
1:0
11/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (386/453) | 72% (218/303) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (386/453) | 72% (218/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 51% (40/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (96/133) | 55% (52/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 45% (9/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Gomaa M. 🟨,
- 36', El Sayed M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hassan M. I. ↓, Ismail M. ↑,
- 61', Jaziri S. ↓, Dabbagh O. ↑,
- 61', Banza C. ↓, Mansy N. ↑,
- 65', Amadi S. ↓, Balaha H. ↑,
- 65', Ashraf H. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
- 68', El Sayed M. ↓, El Said A. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Mansy N. ⚽, Juan Alvina (A),
- 79', Naguib A. ↓, Samadou A. ↑,
- 79', Ragab M. ↓, Hafez H. ↑,
- 84', El Ghandour K. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
- 85', Juan Alvina ↓, Khodary A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zamalek
42.6% | Draw
33.5% | Smouha
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Zamalek - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(2.05) |
2.77 ↓
(2.9) |
3.89 ↓
(4.09) |
7.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Zamalek - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamalek: 56% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Smouha (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Zamalek (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Zamalek (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zamalek will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Smouha (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Smouha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Zamalek is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zamalek won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Zamalek won against Smouha?
Zamalek has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Zamalek?
Smouha has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamalek - Smouha were as follows:
25.12.2025
Zamalek
-
Smouha
0:1
16.04.2025
Smouha
-
Zamalek
0:1
15.03.2025
Zamalek
-
Smouha
4:2
08.11.2024
Smouha
-
Zamalek
0:2
05.05.2024
Smouha
-
Zamalek
1:0
Latest results of Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 24 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 19 |
| 20 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
