Lesotho vs Zambia, COSAFA Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football COSAFA Cup Lesotho - Zambia
Result
0:1
16/07/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFRICA: COSAFA CUP - PLAY OFFS - FINAL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport

Chances of winning


Lesotho
21.1%
Draw
29.7%
Zambia
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 25.7% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8% 25.3% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lesotho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Zambia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zambia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lesotho than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zambia than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zambia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lesotho - Zambia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.37
    (5.2)
    3.1
    (3.67)
    1.87
    (1.68)
    8.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lesotho - Zambia?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lesotho will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Zambia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zambia: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lesotho won 1.
    • Recent matches Lesotho is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Zambia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Zambia is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Lesotho won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lesotho - Zambia were as follows:
    26.03.2023 Lesotho - Zambia 0:2
    23.03.2023 Zambia - Lesotho 3:1
    Latest results of Lesotho
    14.07.2023 Malawi - Lesotho 1:2
    12.07.2023 Angola - Lesotho 4:2
    10.07.2023 Mozambique - Lesotho 0:1
    07.07.2023 Mauritius - Lesotho 0:2
    17.06.2023 Lesotho - Comoros 0:1
    Latest results of Zambia
    14.07.2023 South Africa - Zambia 1:2
    11.07.2023 Seychelles - Zambia 2:4
    09.07.2023 Zambia - Comoros 2:1
    06.07.2023 Zambia - Malawi 0:1
    17.06.2023 Zambia - Ivory Coast 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AngolaMadagascar4 : 1
    2South AfricaComoros3 : 1

    Final
    1AngolaSouth Africa3 : 0

    3rd place
    2MadagascarComoros0 : 1