Result
0:3
29/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | AfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, ZAP |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Angola | TPA 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4 |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Brazil | Band Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Burkina-faso | RTB |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Cote-d-ivoire | NCI, RTI 3 |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Gabon | Groupe Gabon Televisions |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Greece | ERT 2, ERT Sports 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
Morocco | Al Aoula, Arryadia 3, Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live, Tamazight TV |
Mozambique | TV Miramar |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus |
Norway | VG+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
South-africa | SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Togo | TVT |
Turkey | Exxen |
Uganda | UBC TV |
United-kingdom | 4Seven, Channel 4 |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Zambia | ZNBC 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (297/353) | 89% (417/467) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (297/353) | 89% (417/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 61% (22/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 79% (108/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 100% (14/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.51 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Ounahi A. (A),
- 27', 0 - 2, Diaz B. ⚽, Ezzalzouli A. (A),
- 29', Chaiwa M. 🟨,
- 39', Chongo K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Liteta J. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
- 46', Chongo K. ↓, Mandanji E. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 3, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Ounahi A. (A),
- 55', Mandanji E. 🟨,
- 63', Banda M. ↓, Sabobo J. ↑,
- 64', Saibari I. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
- 64', Diaz B. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
- 64', Mazraoui N. ↓, Hakimi A. ↑,
- 74', Ezzalzouli A. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
- 74', El Kaabi A. ↓, En Nesyri Y. ↑,
- 79', Kangwa K. ↓, Kalusa G. ↑,
- 79', Daka P. ↓, Chisala W. ↑,
- 85', Hamansenya D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ounahi A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/58rpnne3
Chances of winning
Zambia 5.4% | Draw 14.5% | Morocco 80% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Zambia - Morocco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
18 ↑ (13.94) |
6.48 ↑ (5.56) |
1.19 ↓ (1.25) |
4.9% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zambia - Morocco?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Morocco will win (votes: 25 - 89.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Morocco: 77.9% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.75 - Zambia (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Morocco (1.68) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +2 - Zambia (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Morocco will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Zambia (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Morocco (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zambia won 0.
- Morocco is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Morocco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Morocco is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Morocco: Saiss R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Morocco: Hakimi A.
(Ankle Injury)
Igamane H.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zambia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Zambia won against Morocco?
Zambia has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morocco won against Zambia?
Morocco has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zambia - Morocco were as follows:
08.09.2025
Zambia
-
Morocco
0:2
14.08.2025
Morocco
-
Zambia
3:1
07.06.2024
Morocco
-
Zambia
2:1
24.01.2024
Zambia
-
Morocco
0:1
Latest results of Morocco
Draw
Final tournament1/8-finals| 1 | Mali (A2) | Tunisia (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Senegal (D1) | Sudan (E3) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Egypt (B1) | Benin (D3) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast (F1) | Burkina Faso (E2) | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Algeria (E1) | D.R. Congo (D2) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Nigeria (C1) | Mozambique (F3) | 4 : 0 |
| 7 | South Africa (B2) | Cameroon (F2) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Morocco (A1) | Tanzania (C3) | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Mali (A2) | Senegal (D1) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Egypt (B1) | Ivory Coast (F1) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Algeria (E1) | Nigeria (C1) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon (F2) | Morocco (A1) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Senegal (D1) | Egypt (B1) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Nigeria (C1) | Morocco (A1) | 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Senegal (D1) | Morocco (A1) | 1 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Egypt (B1) | Nigeria (C1) | 0 : 1 |