Portugalete vs Zamudio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Perez A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 2 - 0, Aranburu I. ,

Chances of winning


Portugalete
74.1%
Draw
17.3%
Zamudio
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70% 18.1% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8% 17.4% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Zamudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Portugalete - Zamudio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.3)
    5.27
    (5.03)
    10.67
    (7.68)
    9.4%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15).
    • Portugalete is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Zamudio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Portugalete is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Zamudio were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Zamudio - Portugalete 0:3
    Latest results of Portugalete
    15.03.2026 Santurtzi - Portugalete 0:0
    28.02.2026 Pasaia - Portugalete 1:1
    22.02.2026 Portugalete - Lagun Onak 3:0
    14.02.2026 Deusto - Portugalete 1:2
    Latest results of Zamudio
    14.03.2026 Zamudio - San Ignacio 0:0
    08.03.2026 Derio - Zamudio 2:1
    01.03.2026 Zamudio - Touring KE 2:3
    22.02.2026 Alavés C - Zamudio 5:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete33236468:284075
    2Leioa33187848:311761
    3Touring KE33169846:331357
    4Derio331671053:401355
    5Lagun Onak331661151:321954
    6Alaves C331581056:381853
    7Real Sociedad C331641346:38852
    8San Ignacio331571135:26952
    9Aurrera de Vitoria331561240:40051
    10UD Aretxabaleta331261553:60-742
    11Durango3310111231:35-441
    12Santurtzi339121231:41-1039
    13Pasaia33991526:43-1736
    14Anorga331141836:57-2134
    15Eibar C33891641:53-1233
    16Zamudio33961841:56-1533
    17Zarautz KE33861930:59-2930
    18SD Deusto33672025:47-2225

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