Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 06:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 66% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (74/105) | 73% (57/78) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 38% (25/65) | 49% (20/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 84% (21/25) | 63% (5/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (21/78) | 31% (33/105) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 62% (40/65) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 16% (4/25) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 39 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 67 | 49 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 100% (9/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (98/169) | 65% (77/119) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (42/119) | 42% (71/169) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (140/288) | 51% (148/288) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 82% (14/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 24% (4/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 53% (18/34) |
Chances of winning
Joel Schwaerzler
53.2% | Zdenek Kolar
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+3%)
Joel Schwaerzler - Zdenek Kolar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77
(1.77) |
|
1.97 ↑
(1.92) |
7.4%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Zdenek Kolar?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Kolar will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Joel Schwaerzler will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 214. Kolar is ranked ATP: 197.
- Schwaerzler is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kolar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schwaerzler won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Joel Schwaerzler won against Zdenek Kolar?
Joel Schwaerzler has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zdenek Kolar won against Joel Schwaerzler?
Zdenek Kolar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joel Schwaerzler - Zdenek Kolar were as follows:
25.02.2025
Zdenek Kolar
-
Joel Schwaerzler
0:2
Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
Latest results of Zdenek Kolar
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Johns G. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bax F. | Pennaforti G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Erhard M. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cuenin S. | Kolar Z. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (4) | Kopp S. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Cecchinato M. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ionel N. D. (Q) | De Krom M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Pieri S. (Q) | Kym J. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Pavlovic L. (8) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Coulibaly E. | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Napolitano S. (Q) | Denolly C. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Forejtek J. | Mikrut L. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Clarke J. (6) | Hemery C. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Houkes M. | Nijboer R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Martin A. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Dalla Valle E. (Q) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Bax F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Kolar Z. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kopp S. | Cecchinato M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | De Krom M. | Kym J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Pavlovic L. (8) | Coulibaly E. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Napolitano S. | Mikrut L. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Hemery C. | Nijboer R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Jianu F. C. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Schwaerzler J. J. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. | Kym J. (RET.) (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Pavlovic L. (8) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hemery C. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Cecchinato M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Napolitano S. | 2 : 0 |
